Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 15

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: City Stadium (Ostrovets)


	Ostrovets		SKA-1938

	1	X	2
	5.70	4.55	1.32
	6.20	5.00	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.95 ↑ (5.65)	4.78 ↑ (4.4)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 12.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostrovets
14.8%

Draw
18.4%

SKA-1938
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

20.2%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

19.6%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostrovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

SKA-1938 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-1938 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Drozd V. (G) 8. Davidovich A. 18. Davyskiba R. 10. Goncharik K. (C) 22. Kalinovskiy M. 44. Krivtsov G. 14. Mokshin I. 4. Prudnik D. 81. Skripnik G. 97. Tsyk D. 88. Yakimovich N.	1. Seledtsov D. (G) 10. Chul D. 3. Fedorovich F. 17. Kartoev A. 28. Knyshev N. 12. Konyakhin A. 9. Korytko M. 8. Lukashenko E. 6. Prigodich V. (C) 4. Royko D. 27. Slivin A.
Substitutes
11. Boychenko M. 9. Fedosenko A. 1. Frolov I. (G) 25. Gonzhurov A. 21. Kilyimanov A. 17. Medvedev R. 2. Merkulov D. 19. Mikhey E. 7. Zaytsev I. 20. Zhernosek G.	21. Isaev T. 14. Kazakov I. 19. Kazlovskiy V. (G) 20. Kholyusev A. 25. Kontsovoy T. 7. Nikiforenko M. 5. Silkin R. 23. Yaskevich M. 18. Yehiptsev F. 11. Zhlobich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Prigodich V. 🟥,
36', 1 - 0, Tsyk D. ⚽, Skripnik G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Konyakhin A. ↓, Yaskevich M. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Slivin A. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga).

Ostrovets has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

SKA-1938 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, SKA-1938 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostrovets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SKA-1938	27	16	5	6	56:31	25	53
10	Ostrovets	27	8	11	8	37:39	-2	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.07.26	Slutsk - Ostrovets	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ostrovets - Dinamo Minsk 2	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Soligorsk - Ostrovets	4:1 ✺
13.06.26	Slonim - Ostrovets	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ostrovets - BATE 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TTLTT
- SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.07.26	SKA-1938 - Slonim	4:3 ✺
28.06.26	BATE 2 - SKA-1938	3:4 ✺
21.06.26	SKA-1938 - Uni X Labs Minsk	4:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
17.06.26	SKA-1938 - ML Vitebsk	3:5 AET ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
13.06.26	Molodechno - SKA-1938	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.08.24	SKA-1938 - Ostrovets	0:1

Ostrovets - SKA-1938: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide