The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Otrant 32.2%
Draw 29.8%
Sutjeska 38.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.7%
29.8%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
30.8%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Otrant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Otrant's form might have worsened.
Sutjeska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sutjeska's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otrant than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Otrant, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sutjeska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Otrant - Sutjeska Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Agovic J. (G) 44. Banovic B. 6. Caique Chagas 14. Krstovic S. 10. Muharemovic H. 8. Pavicevic F. 5. Rudovic A. 30. Rudovic V. 9. Taipi A. 22. Uskokovic M. 27. Vukovic P.
12. Djurovic T. (G) 9. Anicic P. 72. Babic A. 7. Boljevic A. 2. Golubovic A. 6. Hocko D. 15. Kopitovic B. 99. Mrvaljevic M. 22. Raznatovic A. 19. Scekic A. 77. Simun M.
Substitutes
24. Bosnjak A. 98. Decbitric E. 40. Karamanaga F. (G) 19. Lambulic L. 62. Lazoja L. 7. Muharem S. 4. Redzovic B. 11. Rudovic A. 23. Vukovic N.
55. Babic S. 20. Cadjenovic J. 11. Cavor V. 21. Cetkovic D. 44. Dedic R. 1. Giljen V. (G) 30. Kecojevic A. 10. Toskovic B. 4. Vracar M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Simun M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Djurovic T. (Own goal),
25', Caique Chagas ↓, Lambulic L. ↑,
45+1', Kopitovic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
89', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otrant won 1.
Otrant has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sutjeska is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sutjeska may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Otrant has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Otrant against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.5:2.5 per game).
Serbia
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Agovic J. (G) 
Caique Chagas 
Taipi A. 
Babic S. 
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