Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 7

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Ourense CF		Deportivo A Coruña B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.76	3.38	4.83
	1.72	3.28	4.65
	1.8	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	4.5 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
51.6%

Draw
28%

Deportivo A Coruña B
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ourense CF's performance.

Deportivo A Coruña B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo A Coruña B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ourense CF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña B than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo A Coruña B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ourense CF - Deportivo A Coruña B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ourense CF will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ourense CF won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.10.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:3 ✺
01.10.23	Compostela - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.09.23	Ourense CF - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Arandina - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWT
- Deportivo A Coruña B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.10.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Compostela	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Covadonga - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:3 ✺
24.09.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Arandina	3:2 ✺
17.09.23	Marino de Luanco - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Rayo Cantabria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.05.22	Ourense CF - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0
13.02.22	Deportivo A Coruña B - Ourense CF	0:1
12.10.21	Ourense CF - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0
01.09.19	Deportivo A Coruña B - Ourense CF	2:0

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