Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ourense CF		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.8
	2.4	3.05	2.88
	2.46	2.96	2.88
	2.48	3.03	2.91	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.8
	2.44	2.89	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.45)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
37.5%

Draw
30.8%

Zamora
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

30.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Zamora have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ourense CF - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raton A. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. (C) 12. Jelbat A. 3. Sanz H. 17. Hernandez R. 24. Moreno C. 8. Ramos J. 6. Castillo N. 9. Sergio Benito 10. Ochoa M.	1. Sobron F. (G) 14. Moreno D. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Ruiz E. 20. Codina M. 10. Ramos C. (C) 16. Lozano M. 6. Garcia M. 19. Abde 7. Kike 9. Losada M.
Substitutes
11. Aranzabe A. 7. Bouzaig A. 2. Coto E. 21. Guerrero A. 20. Gueye L. 16. Munoz D. 14. Perez A. 23. Punzano I. 18. Rabadan D. 15. Rivas L. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 22. Yuste A.	4. Athuman I. 15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 3. Merchan D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 22. Sancho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Ochoa M. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
28', Kike 🟨,
44', Carmona F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Hernandez R. ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
57', Sergio Benito ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
72', Raton A. 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Ramos C. ⚽,
79', Losada M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
79', Kike ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
80', Moreno C. 🟨,
80', Moreno C. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
82', Castillo N. ↓, Rabadan D. ↑,
87', Abde ↓, Buron L. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 2.

Recent performances by Ourense CF have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zamora is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ourense CF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.04.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ourense CF - Lugo	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Real Avilés - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Pontevedra - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLTT
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.04.26	Zamora - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Talavera de la Reina - Zamora	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Zamora - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Zamora - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Zamora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.11.25	Zamora - Ourense CF	0:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.04.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:0
07.12.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.02.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	0:0
07.10.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:3
05.03.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:1

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