Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 8

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Pérolas Negras		Bangu

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.85	2.35
	3.32	3.06	2.13
				Watch
	3.35	2.97	2.16
	3.15	2.9	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.15)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.24 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pérolas Negras
28.6%

Draw
30.8%

Bangu
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

31.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

30.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pérolas Negras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Pérolas Negras - Bangu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 1 - 0, Yury (Pen),
77', 1 - 1, PK ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 8).

Pérolas Negras has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bangu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pérolas Negras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bangu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pérolas Negras
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
08.06.25	Pérolas Negras - Resende	0:1 ✺
05.06.25	Cabofriense - Pérolas Negras	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	São Gonçalo - Pérolas Negras	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Pérolas Negras - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1 ✺
20.05.25	Pérolas Negras - America RJ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.25	Bangu - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:1 ✺
04.06.25	Bangu - America RJ	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	Audax Rio - Bangu	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Bangu - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLTL

Pérolas Negras - Bangu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide