Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 6

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday


	Pérolas Negras		Resende

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.25	1.75
	3.85	3.15	1.98
	3.74	3.23	1.96	Watch
	3.76	3.13	1.95
	3.85	3.15	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.39)	3.18 ↓ (3.45)	1.92 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pérolas Negras
23.7%

Draw
28.8%

Resende
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26.5%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

26%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pérolas Negras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Resende might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Resende could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pérolas Negras - Resende Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Pérolas Negras (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pérolas Negras (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Thiago Sales ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 8).

Pérolas Negras is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Resende has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Resende may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Resende is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pérolas Negras
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
05.06.25	Cabofriense - Pérolas Negras	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	São Gonçalo - Pérolas Negras	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Pérolas Negras - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1 ✺
20.05.25	Pérolas Negras - America RJ	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Araruama - Pérolas Negras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT
- Resende FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.06.25	Resende - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Araruama - Resende	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Resende - America RJ	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Resende - Duque de Caxias	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Audax Rio - Resende	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTWL

Pérolas Negras - Resende: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide