Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 5

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Municipal de Pétange (Petange)


	Pétange		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.44
	5.5	4.05	1.47
	5.54	4.34	1.51
	5.87	3.97	1.52	Watch
	5.95	4.15	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.72 ↑ (3.97)	4.1 ↑ (3.52)	1.48 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pétange
16%

Draw
22.3%

Progrès Niedercorn
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pétange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pétange's form might have worsened.

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Progrès Niedercorn's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pétange will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Progrès Niedercorn will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Progrès Niedercorn (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Progrès Niedercorn (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Progrès Niedercorn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Progrès Niedercorn (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barrela L. (C) 27. Ali D. 21. Arab S. 34. Diouf I. 17. Goncalves R. 36. Kamavuaka W. 23. Martins N. 11. Nguessan K. 4. Noode S. 88. Sissoko B. 5. Zodehougan Y.	1. Flauss S. (G) 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 9. Chambon H. 23. Duarte C. 11. Gilgemann M. 28. Guett A. 26. Hend B. 10. Natami O. 27. Peugnet V. (C) 14. Sacras C. 7. Schmid J.
Substitutes
19. Agovic E. 91. Amaadacho S. 22. Fanoux J. 18. Komes M. (G) 77. Lognard N. 24. Pereira Mendes P. 44. Rodrigues M.	31. Alves Margato J. (G) 80. Avdusinovic K. 18. Boesen V. 19. Bouche Y. 17. Camara M. 76. Nigro S. 29. Oger M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Ali D. ⚽, Goncalves R. (A),
36', Diouf I. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Hend B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chambon H. ↓, Avdusinovic K. ↑,
49', Diouf I. 🟨,
51', Peugnet V. 🟨,
54', Nguessan K. 🟨,
62', Ahmetxjekaj A. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Avdusinovic K. ⚽, Natami O. (A),
68', Schmid J. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
76', Nguessan K. ↓, Amaadacho S. ↑,
76', Martins N. ↓, Pereira Mendes P. ↑,
80', Zodehougan Y. 🟨,
83', Ahmetxjekaj A. ↓, Bouche Y. ↑,
88', Arab S. ↓, Fanoux J. ↑,
90+3', Gilgemann M. ↓, Oger M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pétange won 1.

Pétange has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Progrès Niedercorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pétange won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:35. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pétange won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Titus Pétange
Luxembourg National Division
24.08.25	UNA Strassen - Pétange	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Pétange - Hostert	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Pétange - Victoria Rosport	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Pétange	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.25	Pétange - Saarbrücken	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTTL
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
24.08.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:4 ✺
09.08.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
25.05.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mondercange	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
10.05.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Pétange	0:1
01.12.24	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:0
03.03.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Pétange	2:1
03.09.23	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	2:2
16.04.23	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2
06.11.22	Progrès Niedercorn - Pétange	2:3
10.04.22	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:0

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