Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Zosimades Stadium (Ioannina)

Referee: Aristeidis V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	SportKlub


	PAS Giannina		Aris

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.2
	3.2	3.2	2.22	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.25
	3.39	3.15	2.32
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.33	3.32	2.24	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.99)	3.24 ↓ (3.51)	2.22 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAS Giannina
28.8%

Draw
28.9%

Aris
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.8%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAS Giannina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PAS Giannina's performance.

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAS Giannina than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAS Giannina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.4%	2.8%	95.8%

PAS Giannina - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: Aris will win (68 of 71 users predict this - 95.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.09% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nagy G. (G) 22. Osei-Tutu J. 45. Bakadimas M. 15. Erramuspe R. 30. Kiakos G. 80. Liasos A. 23. Rienstra D. 14. Pamlidis G. 7. Gino F. 11. Rosero K. 9. Conde P.	23. Julian (G) 22. Odubajo M. 92. Rose L. 14. Brabec J. 18. Fattore V. 8. Doukoure C. 20. Djurasek N. 12. Zamora A. 19. Fetfatzidis G. 11. Kike Saverio 9. Bennette J.
Substitutes
99. Athanasiou V. (G) 91. Balan C. 77. Demir M. 5. Karachalios Z. 17. Leo J. 8. Lolis A. 24. Panagou K. 4. Pantelakis E. 3. Tsaousis M.	94. Choutetsiotis L. (G) 16. Darida V. 6. Molo 80. Moron L. 77. Panagidis M. 21. Pardo R. 93. Suleymanov S. 44. Velez F. 28. Verstraete B.
Coaches
Grigoriou M.	Mantzios A.

Preview

No spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Giannina is Super League (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Giannina won 0.

Giannina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aris is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aris is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Giannina won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Giannina won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAS Giannina
Greek Super League
04.02.24	PAS Giannina - Lamia	1:4 ✺
28.01.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - PAS Giannina	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	PAS Giannina - Panserraikos	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	PAOK - PAS Giannina	4:0 ✺
07.01.24	PAS Giannina - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
03.02.24	Panserraikos - Aris	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
30.01.24	Niki Volos - Aris	2:2 ✺
Greek Super League
27.01.24	AE Kifisia - Aris	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
24.01.24	Aris - Niki Volos	3:0 ✺
Greek Super League
21.01.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
29.10.23	Aris - PAS Giannina	2:0
12.03.23	Aris - PAS Giannina	3:1
13.11.22	PAS Giannina - Aris	0:4
17.05.22	PAS Giannina - Aris	0:3
03.04.22	Aris - PAS Giannina	0:0
14.02.22	PAS Giannina - Aris	2:0
20.11.21	Aris - PAS Giannina	0:5

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