The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Panathinaikos 64.3%
Draw 22.2%
Aris 13.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54%
26.2%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
25.1%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panathinaikos's performance.
Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panathinaikos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Panathinaikos - Aris Predictions
Users Predictions:
Panathinaikos will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pena I. (G) 19. Tsapras T. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 3. Katris G. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 4. Chirivella P. (C) 26. Louza I. 28. Pellistri F. 8. Jagusic A. 18. Kontouris S. 74. Rastoder E.
33. Velho R. (G) 2. Petris J. 4. Fabiano 44. Sutalo B. 41. Charoupas K. 18. Hongla M. 20. Dele-Bashiru T. 29. Papasarafianos S. 97. Jensen F. (C) 49. Boussaid O. 17. Mir R.
Substitutes
10. Andino S. 22. Camara E. 99. Garcia L. 71. Gitonas C. (G) 42. Kangwa K. 56. Lavdas V. 53. Nebis I. 5. Salah-Eddine A. 20. Taborda V. 7. Tetteh A. 55. Van Drongelen R.
24. Barbopoulos A. (G) 1. Dioudis S. (G) 6. Galanopoulos K. 7. Garre B. 9. Kadewere T. 30. Kamtsis C. 8. Kouame C. 21. Majkic L. (G) 3. Richards O. 14. Sanoussi D. 22. Voriazidis M.
Coaches
Neestrup J.
Grigoriou M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Kontouris S. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
40', Mir R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
58', Boussaid O. ↓, Garre B. ↑,
58', Palmer-Brown E. ↓, Van Drongelen R. ↑,
58', Pellistri F. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
58', Mir R. ↓, Kadewere T. ↑,
58', Jagusic A. ↓, Andino S. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Kadewere T. ⚽,
74', Kontouris S. ↓, Nebis I. ↑,
75', Papasarafianos S. ↓, Voriazidis M. ↑,
78', Chirivella P. ↓, Camara E. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Rastoder E. ⚽, Kyriakopoulos G. (A),
90', Hongla M. ↓, Galanopoulos K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 2.
Panathinaikos is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Aris is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Aris could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Aris has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Panathinaikos is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Panathinaikos in today's match, at odds of 1.64.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:13 (averaging 1.1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Panathinaikos against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:6 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Panathinaikos
3
3
0
0
5:1
4
9
10
Aris
3
1
1
1
3:3
0
4
Last Results with these Odds
Panathinaikos - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Aris - the odds 4.68 are the expected chance of winning is 19.84%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Bosnia And Herzegovina
Cyprus
Greece
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Pena I. (G) 
Tsapras T. 
Palmer-Brown E. 
Louza I. 
Pellistri F. 
Jagusic A. 
Rastoder E. 
Velho R. (G) 
Petris J. 
Fabiano 
Hongla M. 
Dele-Bashiru T. 
Jensen F. (C) 
Boussaid O. 
Andino S. 
Garcia L. 
Kangwa K. 
Van Drongelen R. 
Kadewere T. 
Kouame C. 
Richards O. 
Neestrup J. 
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