Match Info

Super League - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Poland	SportKlub
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Slovenia	SportKlub 4


	Aris		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	6	3.9	1.53	Watch
	6.4	4	1.52
	6.31	4.01	1.57
	6.03	3.98	1.55	Watch
	6	3.8	1.53
	6.06	3.86	1.55	Watch
	6.33	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.16 ↑ (6.13)	3.94 ↑ (3.78)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
15.2%

Draw
23.8%

Olympiacos Piraeus
61%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.3%

24.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

24.3%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Olympiacos (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympiacos Piraeus will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympiacos Piraeus will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Olympiacos (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Athanasiadis G. (C) 15. Tejero A. 24. Alvaro P. 92. Rose L. 27. Fadiga N. 6. Galanopoulos K. 10. Racic U. 7. Perez C. 97. Jensen F. 28. Dudu 80. Moron L.	88. Tzolakis K. (G) 20. Costinha (C) 6. Kalogeropoulos A. 5. Pirola L. 70. Onyemaechi B. 14. Garcia D. 96. Mouzakitis C. 10. Martins G. 99. Taremi M. 27. Strefezza G. 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
41. Charoupas K. 17. Frydek M. 70. Gianniotas G. 25. Gning M. 91. Karaj E. (G) 21. Majkic L. (G) 26. Misehouy G. 8. Monchu 18. Morutan O. 77. Panagidis M. 40. Sisto P.	31. Botis N. (G) 90. Cabella R. 22. Chiquinho 39. Gustavo Mancha 32. Hezze S. 8. Nascimento D. 3. Ortega F. 56. Podence D. 16. Scipioni L. 21. Vezo R. 11. Yaremchuk R. 97. Yazici Y.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Mendilibar J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Garcia D. 🟨,
29', Mouzakitis C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Galanopoulos K. 🟨,
51', Garcia D. 🟨,
61', Fadiga N. 🟥,
64', Dudu ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
64', Galanopoulos K. ↓, Monchu ↑,
64', Martins G. ↓, Chiquinho ↑,
64', Strefezza G. ↓, Hezze S. ↑,
68', Frydek M. 🟨,
69', Onyemaechi B. ↓, Ortega F. ↑,
81', Moron L. 🟨,
85', Perez C. ↓, Morutan O. ↑,
86', El Kaabi A. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
86', Costinha ↓, Podence D. ↑,
89', Athanasiadis G. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 1.

Aris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olympiacos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Olympiacos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olympiacos is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Aris: Kadewere T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Olympiacos: Paschalakis A. (Calf Injury) Retsos P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Aris: Donis A. (Inactive) Sonko Sundberg N. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
07.12.25	PAOK - Aris	3:1 ✺
Greek Cup
03.12.25	Aris - PAOK	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
29.11.25	Aris - AEL Larissa	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	AEK Athens - Aris	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWLT
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Kairat - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
06.12.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	3:0 ✺
Greek Cup
03.12.25	Ellas Syros - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:5 ✺
Greek Super League
30.11.25	Panetolikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
01.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	2:1
11.01.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	2:1
21.09.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:4
Greek Super League
24.04.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1
03.04.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	3:0
21.01.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2

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