Match Info

Date: 30 May 2022, Monday


	PEPO Lappeenranta		KPV Kokkola

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.87	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.85
	2.43	3.25	2.7
	2.31	3.15	2.95
	2.38	3.45	3.1
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.39	3.35	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.7)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.89 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PEPO Lappeenranta
39.5%

Draw
28.5%

KPV Kokkola
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PEPO Lappeenranta's performance.

KPV Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KPV Kokkola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PEPO Lappeenranta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KPV Kokkola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	35%	25%

PEPO Lappeenranta - KPV Kokkola Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. PEPO will win (votes: 8 - 40%). KPV will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PEPO: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group)).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently PEPO have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Ykkonen
21.05.22	TPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:0 ✺
07.05.22	PK-35 Vantaa - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
03.05.22	Komeetat - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
29.04.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - FF Jaro	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	Ekenäs - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWLLL
- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
21.05.22	KPV Kokkola - SJK Akatemia	0:3 ✺
14.05.22	PIF Pargas - KPV Kokkola	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	KPV Kokkola - KTP Kotka	1:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
03.05.22	KPV Kokkola - VPS Vaasa	1:5 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
29.04.22	JäPS - KPV Kokkola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLT

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