Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Kimpisen stadion (Lappeenranta)


	PEPO Lappeenranta		Vaajakoski

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.2	4.1
	1.65	4.25	4.15
	1.58	4.55	4.32
				Watch
	1.58	4.4	4.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.72)	4.35 ↑ (4)	4.28 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PEPO Lappeenranta
57.4%

Draw
21.1%

Vaajakoski
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

22.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

21.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

PEPO Lappeenranta - Vaajakoski Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. PEPO will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Vaajakoski will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PEPO: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Vaajakoski (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PEPO Lappeenranta will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. PEPO (votes: 3 - 75%). Vaajakoski (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sorsa J. (C) 21. Enbuska J. 3. Erguner E. 14. Jammeh O. 25. Jappinen J. 22. Kotanen A. 33. Oinonen O. 8. Olives T. 26. Pesonen P. 7. Salminen M. 6. Turppo O.	25. Silen K. (G) 5. Aarnu A. 9. Berardinelli J. 10. Kovaqi G. 20. Laakso L. 24. Liimatainen M. 2. Margaritidis A. 3. Sarkkinen J. (C) 8. Seilonen L. 4. Suihkonen V. 7. Yahagi S.
Substitutes
10. Enbuska J. 13. Hinkkanen J. 18. Jammeh I. 19. Koistinen M. 12. Kuitto M. (G) 4. Maijanen V. 20. Pohjonen T. 11. Sikanen E.	28. Eloranta A. 14. Hamalainen A. 32. Jarvenpaa O. 18. Jarvinen V. 6. Kokkonen E. 26. Kurkisuo S. 11. Reinikoski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Olives T. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Kovaqi G. (Pen),
30', Kotanen A. 🟨,
34', Aarnu A. ↓, Kurkisuo S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Suihkonen V. ↓, Hamalainen A. ↑,
48', Seilonen L. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Liimatainen M. ⚽,
61', Oinonen O. ↓, Koistinen M. ↑,
61', Salminen M. ↓, Maijanen V. ↑,
66', Olives T. ↓, Enbuska J. ↑,
70', Laakso L. ↓, Kokkonen E. ↑,
75', Kovaqi G. 🟨,
78', Enbuska J. ↓, Hinkkanen J. ↑,
85', Liimatainen M. ↓, Reinikoski M. ↑,
85', Yahagi S. ↓, Jarvenpaa O. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: )).

PEPO is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vaajakoski's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, PEPO is considered a favorite.

We predict that PEPO will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, PEPO won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, PEPO won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
05.07.25	MYPA - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:0 ✺
02.07.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - Grankulla IFK	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	JPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:3 ✺
08.06.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - Puistolan Urheilijat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW
- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
08.07.25	Vaajakoski - VJS Vantaa	0:3 ✺
02.07.25	Vaajakoski - Honka	0:4 ✺
26.06.25	MYPA - Vaajakoski	4:3 ✺
15.06.25	Lahden Reipas - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
11.06.25	JPS - Vaajakoski	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
12.05.25	Vaajakoski - PEPO Lappeenranta	5:1
02.09.18	PEPO Lappeenranta - Vaajakoski	2:0
15.06.18	Vaajakoski - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:2
16.08.16	PEPO Lappeenranta - Vaajakoski	4:0

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