Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Losers stage

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Viitaniemi TN (Jyväskylä)


	JPS		Vaajakoski

	1	X	2
	15	10	1.09
	15.46	10.47	1.08
	4.83	5.79	1.41	Watch
	21	9.8	1.06
	10	7	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.26 ↑ (5.4)	8.61 ↑ (4.8)	1.16 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JPS
7.2%

Draw
11%

Vaajakoski
81.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

18.5%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

18.1%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JPS's form might have worsened.

Vaajakoski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vaajakoski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JPS than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vaajakoski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

JPS - Vaajakoski Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 - Vaajakoski (4.85) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vaajakoski (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lindfors E. (G) 16. Aatsinki S. 9. Arponen S. 20. Ikaheimo A. 26. Kopperoinen P. 27. Medjadji A. 8. Naskali T. 4. Peltoniemi J. 6. Purokuru L. 25. Pyyny V. (C) 14. Salmi E.	99. Roiha W. (G) 5. Aarnu A. 28. Eloranta A. 14. Hamalainen A. 10. Kovaqi G. 20. Laakso L. 12. Laurinmaa M. 24. Liimatainen M. (C) 2. Margaritidis A. 8. Seilonen L. 7. Yahagi S.
Substitutes
19. Aro A. 5. Huusko J. 29. Kinnunen T. 3. Kuusela R. 17. Sormunen O. 13. Tuomainen A. (G)	31. Anhava A. 9. Berardinelli J. 32. Jarvenpaa O. 17. Kangasmetsa M. 6. Kokkonen E. 11. Reinikoski M. 29. Seppala L. 4. Suihkonen V. 13. Toivari S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Salmi E. ⚽,
38', Seilonen L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Aarnu A. ↓, Suihkonen V. ↑,
46', Laurinmaa M. ↓, Berardinelli J. ↑,
46', Eloranta A. ↓, Kokkonen E. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Pyyny V. ⚽,
68', Arponen S. 🟨,
70', Arponen S. ↓, Sormunen O. ↑,
71', Medjadji A. ↓, Kinnunen T. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Kovaqi G. ⚽,
78', Peltoniemi J. ↓, Huusko J. ↑,
78', Aatsinki S. ↓, Aro A. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Kovaqi G. ⚽,
81', Berardinelli J. 🟨,
86', Laakso L. ↓, Anhava A. ↑,

Preview

JPS is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Vaajakoski has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Vaajakoski is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, JPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:16. (average 0.3:5.3).

Including home match between the teams, JPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JPS Football
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
13.09.25	Lahden Reipas - JPS	8:3 ✺
06.09.25	JPS - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Vaajakoski - JPS	7:0 ✺
16.08.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - JPS	7:0 ✺
10.08.25	JPS - Honka	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
13.09.25	Haminan Pallo-Kissat - Vaajakoski	0:3 ✺
07.09.25	Vaajakoski - Lahden Reipas	1:6 ✺
30.08.25	Vaajakoski - JPS	7:0 ✺
16.08.25	Vaajakoski - Lahden Reipas	4:2 ✺
10.08.25	Grankulla IFK - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
30.08.25	Vaajakoski - JPS	7:0
07.08.25	Vaajakoski - JPS	4:0
11.06.25	JPS - Vaajakoski	1:5

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