Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Mandala Krida Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	PSIM Yogyakarta		PSBS Biak Numfor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.15	6.3	12.5	Watch
	1.16	7.08	16.49	Watch
	1.18	6	13
	1.25	4.95	14.9	Watch
	1.13	6.66	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.63)	6.2 ↑ (4.13)	14.38 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSIM Yogyakarta
78.7%

Draw
14.9%

PSBS Biak Numfor
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

21.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIM Yogyakarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSIM Yogyakarta's performance.

PSBS Biak Numfor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSBS Biak Numfor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSIM Yogyakarta than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSIM Yogyakarta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSBS Biak Numfor than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSBS Biak Numfor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

PSIM Yogyakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. PSIM Yogyakarta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). PSBS Biak will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - PSIM Yogyakarta (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - PSIM Yogyakarta (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PSIM Yogyakarta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Supriadi C. (G) 15. Cahyana R. 4. Ramos Mingo F. 14. Teddy R. 35. Adi R. (C) 63. Rakhmatzoda R. 88. Sudin F. 11. Vidal E. 10. Ze Valente 7. Corfe D. 99. Haljeta N.	41. Kadu (G) 5. Haji Haris N. 6. Embalo S. (C) 4. Hwang Myung-Hyun 87. Hadi I. 94. Susanto H. 20. Barbosa E. 33. Pablo Andrade 10. Luquinhas 77. Siregar R. 7. Blanco R.
Substitutes
27. Abiyoso R. 77. Botan K. 21. Chan I. 23. Fatkur G. 47. Fikri K. (G) 29. Hardiawan R. 6. Iqbal M. 17. Irfan A. 65. Sapari D. 5. Setyo A. 8. Sheva S.	15. Agung A. 90. Alom N. 26. Brown G. 3. Budiyono A. 98. Gwijangge S. 9. Hassan M. 25. Isa M. 44. Madjar M. 23. Oktavianto L. 27. Putra Y. 35. Wisnu A. (G)
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Riyanto A. S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Barbosa E. ⚽, Luquinhas (A),
25', Cahyana R. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Blanco R. ⚽, Luquinhas (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Ze Valente (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Luquinhas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hadi I. ↓, Agung A. ↑,
46', Siregar R. ↓, Putra Y. ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Vidal E. ⚽, Adi R. (A),
56', Blanco R. 🟨,
72', Adi R. ↓, Abiyoso R. ↑,
75', Sudin F. ↓, Sheva S. ↑,
79', Susanto H. ↓, Gwijangge S. ↑,
87', Cahyana R. 🟨,
88', Blanco R. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
90+3', Vidal E. ↓, Hardiawan R. ↑,
90+3', Corfe D. ↓, Sapari D. ↑,
90+10', Barbosa E. ↓, Madjar M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, PSIM Yogyakarta is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, PSIM Yogyakarta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, PSIM Yogyakarta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIM Yogyakarta
Indonesian Super League
23.12.25	Persijap Jepara - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Persija Jakarta - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Bhayangkara	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Persis Solo - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Persik Kediri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWTW
- PSBS Biak Numfor
Indonesian Super League
22.12.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Bali United Pusam	0:3 ✺
27.11.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persijap Jepara	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	PSM Makassar - PSBS Biak Numfor	5:0 ✺
06.11.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persita Tangerang	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Persija Jakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
15.09.19	PSBS Biak Numfor - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:0
14.07.19	PSIM Yogyakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:0
05.09.18	PSIM Yogyakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:1

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