Match Info

Super League - Round 15

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Cendrawasih Stadium (Biak)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	PSBS Biak Numfor		Bali United Pusam

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.25	1.45	Watch
	6.48	4.79	1.42
	5.81	4.73	1.46	Watch
	5.5	4.4	1.44
	5.97	4.25	1.43
	5.66	4.33	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.82 ↑ (4.79)	4.46 ↑ (4.12)	1.44 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSBS Biak Numfor
15.8%

Draw
20.6%

Bali United Pusam
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

22.5%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

22.9%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSBS Biak Numfor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bali United Pusam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSBS Biak Numfor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

PSBS Biak Numfor - Bali United Pusam Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. PSBS Biak will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Bali United will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSBS Biak: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. PSBS Biak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bali United (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bali United (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - PSBS Biak (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. PSBS Biak (votes: 2 - 40%). Bali United (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kadu (G) 5. Haji Haris N. 6. Embalo S. (C) 87. Hadi I. 4. Hwang Myung-Hyun 33. Pablo Andrade 77. Siregar R. 94. Susanto H. 20. Barbosa E. 10. Luquinhas 7. Blanco R.	1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 16. Rizky Dwi 4. Arel K. 2. Ferrari J. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 14. Receveur T. 18. Kadek Agung 8. Bruijn J. 10. Mustafic M. 7. Goppel T. 9. Kopitovic B.
Substitutes
15. Agung A. 90. Alom N. 26. Brown G. 3. Budiyono A. 92. Galih D. (G) 98. Gwijangge S. 9. Hassan M. 25. Isa M. 44. Madjar M. 23. Oktavianto L. 27. Putra Y. 32. Rumere P.	5. Adi B. 33. Andhika M. 47. Arjuna R. 55. Made T. 44. Panji P. 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 11. Roni Y. 95. Rustapa F. (G) 42. Simon M. 31. Yusron D. (G)
Coaches
Riyanto A. S.	Jansen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Fajrin R. 🟨,
45', Hadi I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Embalo S. ↓, Budiyono A. ↑,
55', Hwang Myung-Hyun 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Receveur T. ⚽, Fajrin R. (A),
61', Hadi I. ↓, Putra Y. ↑,
61', Siregar R. ↓, Isa M. ↑,
68', Isa M. 🟨,
73', Susanto H. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
81', Pablo Andrade 🟨,
82', 0 - 2, Kopitovic B. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Mustafic M. ↓, Arjuna R. ↑,
83', Kadek Agung ↓, Simon M. ↑,
87', Pablo Andrade ↓, Rumere P. ↑,
88', Kopitovic B. ↓, Raven J. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Goppel T. ⚽, Simon M. (A),
90+2', Bruijn J. ↓, Rahmat ↑,
90+2', Fajrin R. ↓, Adi B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Bali United is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSBS Biak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, PSBS Biak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSBS Biak Numfor
Indonesian Super League
27.11.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persijap Jepara	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	PSM Makassar - PSBS Biak Numfor	5:0 ✺
06.11.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persita Tangerang	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Persija Jakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWLT
- Bali United Pusam FC
Indonesian Super League
30.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Bali United Pusam	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Bali United Pusam - Persis Solo	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Bhayangkara - Bali United Pusam	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bali United Pusam - Persib Bandung	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Bali United Pusam - Persita Tangerang	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
11.03.25	Bali United Pusam - PSBS Biak Numfor	0:2
03.11.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - Bali United Pusam	2:0

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