Match Info

Super League - Round 13

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Gelora BJ Habibie (Parepare City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	PSM Makassar		PSBS Biak Numfor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.55	7.3	Watch
	1.34	4.96	7.8
	1.48	4.17	6.12	Watch
	1.32	4.45	8.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.48)	4.53 ↑ (4.17)	7.39 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSM Makassar
67.3%

Draw
20.3%

PSBS Biak Numfor
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSM Makassar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

PSBS Biak Numfor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSBS Biak Numfor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

PSM Makassar - PSBS Biak Numfor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Makassar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: PSM Makassar will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Hilmansyah (G) 71. Hidayat M. 2. Aloisio Neto 4. Fernandes Y. 22. Victor Luiz 48. Arfan M. (C) 40. Gledson 8. Savio Roberto 7. Dethan V. 9. Alex 98. Medina Themopole J.	41. Kadu (G) 15. Agung A. 5. Haji Haris N. 6. Embalo S. (C) 23. Oktavianto L. 94. Susanto H. 20. Barbosa E. 33. Pablo Andrade 27. Putra Y. 10. Luquinhas 9. Hassan M.
Substitutes
1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 27. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 77. Kamara A. 13. Lasinari S. 11. Lucas Dias 18. Pagamo G. 15. Pratama R. 88. Raehan A. 81. Rahaman A. 23. Ridzald K. 32. Septiawan R. D. 45. Tanjung A.	90. Alom N. 78. Ardiansyah H. 30. Armaiyn I. 98. Gwijangge S. 87. Hadi I. 25. Isa M. 76. Madjar J. (G) 8. Oktaviansyah A. 28. Olivera C. 77. Siregar R. 13. Urbanus L.
Coaches
Trucha T.	Alves D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Alex ⚽, Gledson (A),
21', Savio Roberto 🟨,
29', Luquinhas 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Hidayat M. ⚽, Dethan V. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kadu ↓, Madjar J. ↑,
46', Savio Roberto ↓, Lucas Dias ↑,
55', Susanto H. ↓, Siregar R. ↑,
55', Hassan M. ↓, Isa M. ↑,
56', Fernandes Y. 🟨,
58', Arfan M. ↓, Tanjung A. ↑,
62', Pablo Andrade 🟨,
62', Aloisio Neto 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Alex ⚽, Victor Luiz (A),
66', Luquinhas ↓, Armaiyn I. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Alex ⚽, Lucas Dias (A),
75', Alex ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
80', Agung A. ↓, Alom N. ↑,
85', 5 - 0, Dethan V. ⚽, Kamara A. (A),
85', Medina Themopole J. ↓, Raehan A. ↑,
86', Hidayat M. ↓, Pratama R. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

PSBS Biak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, PSBS Biak has had a series of home games.

In this match, Makassar is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Makassar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Makassar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
09.11.25	Dewa United - PSM Makassar	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	PSM Makassar - Madura United	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Persik Kediri - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	PSM Makassar - Arema	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	PSM Makassar - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTLT
- PSBS Biak Numfor
Indonesian Super League
06.11.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persita Tangerang	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Persija Jakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persib Bandung	0:3 ✺
25.09.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Madura United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
18.01.25	PSM Makassar - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:1
16.08.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - PSM Makassar	1:2

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