Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Jatidiri Stadium (Semarang)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	PSIS Semarang		Persija Jakarta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.3
	2.85	3.1	2.34	Watch
	3.16	3.05	2.52
	3.13	2.94	2.47	Watch
	2.98	2.99	2.33	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.81)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.38 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSIS Semarang
31%

Draw
30.4%

Persija Jakarta
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30.1%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.9%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIS Semarang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Persija Jakarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persija Jakarta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	42.9%	21.4%

PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Semarang will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Persija Jakarta will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Satryo A. (G) 68. Setiawan T. 5. Ferrari J. 4. Ruxi 3. Alhafiz H. 6. Lucas 19. Dewangga A. 21. Diarra B. 80. Skandari T. 24. Ramdhani W. 29. David M. (C)	26. Ardhiyasa A. (C) 2. Fahmi R. 17. Kudela O. 11. Andika F. 19. Sjahbandi H. 6. Bueno R. 10. Gajos M. 7. Matsumura R. 70. Gustavo 9. Simic M. 77. Pamungkas D.
Substitutes
45. Buddin S. 52. Darmawan R. (G) 72. Febrianatta Z. 25. Ferizal S. 57. Madilesa F. 7. Paulo Gali 12. Rahman A. 20. Scheunemann B. 31. Syawal R. 56. Syuhada R. 26. Trisna S. (G) 27. Zalnando	8. Abimanyu S. 27. Alhawari S. 33. Arjunsyah A. 1. Carlos Eduardo (G) 24. Fandi R. 41. Ferarri M. 90. Firmansyah A. 58. Hannan R. 5. Ridho R. 25. Simanjuntak R. 36. Warman A. 78. Witan
Coaches
Agius G.	Pena C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Satryo A. 🟥,
23', Ramdhani W. ↓, Darmawan R. ↑,
24', 0 - 1, Gajos M. ⚽,
30', Gustavo ↓, Abimanyu S. ↑,
30', Dewangga A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gajos M. ↓, Hannan R. ↑,
64', Lucas 🟨,
67', Alhafiz H. ↓, Syuhada R. ↑,
72', Andika F. ↓, Ridho R. ↑,
72', Pamungkas D. ↓, Simanjuntak R. ↑,
77', David M. ↓, Paulo Gali ↑,
84', Bueno R. ↓, Fandi R. ↑,
87', Ruxi 🟥,
88', 0 - 2, Hannan R. ⚽, Simanjuntak R. (A),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Semarang won 2.

Semarang is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Persija Jakarta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Semarang won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Semarang won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
26.09.24	PSIS Semarang - Arema	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Persib Bandung - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Dewa United - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	PSIS Semarang - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW
- Persija Jakarta
Indonesian Super League
29.09.24	Persija Jakarta - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
23.09.24	Persib Bandung - Persija Jakarta	2:0 ✺
16.09.24	Persija Jakarta - Dewa United	0:0 ✺
12.09.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persija Jakarta	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Persija Jakarta - Persis Solo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.05.24	Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang	1:0
Indonesian Super League
30.04.24	Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang	2:1
29.10.23	PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta	2:1
16.03.23	Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang	1:0
13.12.22	PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta	2:0
06.01.22	PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta	1:2
12.09.21	Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang	2:2

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