Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	PSM Makassar		PSIS Semarang

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.72	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.76	3.71	4.84
	1.75	3.66	4.54	Watch
	1.67	3.68	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.93)	3.63 ↑ (3.38)	4.44 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSM Makassar
53.8%

Draw
25.4%

PSIS Semarang
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSM Makassar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSM Makassar's performance.

PSIS Semarang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSIS Semarang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang Predictions

Users Predictions: PSM Makassar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Hilmansyah (G) 2. Aloisio Neto 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 22. Victor Luiz 13. Lasinari S. 45. Tanjung A. 8. Raehan A. 19. Fall L. 15. Pratama R. 99. Haljeta N. 20. Okello T.	30. Satryo A. (G) 4. Ruxi 5. Ferrari J. 19. Dewangga A. 3. Alhafiz H. 14. Ardiansyah R. 21. Diarra B. 68. Setiawan T. 7. Paulo Gali 29. David M. (C) 24. Ramdhani W.
Substitutes
29. Aditia F. 1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 11. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 17. Bakri R. 28. Darmawan A. 7. Dethan V. 41. Nur Bangsawan A. 24. Pratama R. 81. Rahaman A. 68. Salman D. 9. Silva A. 27. Sukarno D.	45. Buddin S. 25. Ferizal S. 6. Lucas 12. Rahman A. 20. Scheunemann B. 80. Skandari T. 56. Syuhada R. 26. Trisna S. (G) 27. Zalnando
Coaches
Tavares B.	Agius G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Pratama R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Okello T. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
57', Pratama R. ↓, Rahaman A. ↑,
65', Setiawan T. ↓, Lucas ↑,
65', Ramdhani W. ↓, Skandari T. ↑,
70', Raehan A. ↓, Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. ↑,
75', Skandari T. 🟨,
80', David M. ↓, Syuhada R. ↑,
80', Paulo Gali ↓, Zalnando ↑,
82', Fernandes Y. 🟨,
86', Lasinari S. ↓, Pratama R. ↑,
86', Fall L. ↓, Aditia F. ↑,
90+5', Rahaman A. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Semi~finals) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Makassar won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Makassar have a series of home games.

In this match Makassar is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Makassar won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Makassar won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
15.09.24	PSM Makassar - Arema	0:1 ✺
11.09.24	PSM Makassar - Persib Bandung	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	PSM Makassar - Dewa United	3:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
21.08.24	PSM Makassar - Pathum United	0:0 ✺
Indonesian Super League
16.08.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - PSM Makassar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWTW
- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
15.09.24	Persib Bandung - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Dewa United - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	PSIS Semarang - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Persis Solo - PSIS Semarang	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	PSIS Semarang - Persita Tangerang	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
16.04.24	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	3:1
30.09.23	PSIS Semarang - PSM Makassar	2:1
06.04.23	PSIS Semarang - PSM Makassar	4:0
19.12.22	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	2:0
06.03.22	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	2:1
22.11.21	PSIS Semarang - PSM Makassar	1:0
Indonesian Menpora Cup
09.04.21	PSIS Semarang - PSM Makassar	0:1 penalties

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