Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Jatidiri Stadium (Semarang)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	PSIS Semarang		Arema

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.03	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.23	3.45	3.39
	2.13	3.34	3.38	Watch
	2.05	3.26	3.28	Watch
	2.03	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.62)	3.33 ↓ (3.84)	3.28 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSIS Semarang
44.2%

Draw
27.7%

Arema
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

22.9%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIS Semarang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSIS Semarang's form might have worsened.

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSIS Semarang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

PSIS Semarang - Arema Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Semarang will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Arema will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Satryo A. (G) 5. Ferrari J. 19. Dewangga A. 4. Ruxi 14. Ardiansyah R. 21. Diarra B. 68. Setiawan T. 3. Alhafiz H. 7. Paulo Gali 29. David M. 24. Ramdhani W.	31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 87. Farisi A. 20. Choi Bo-Kyung 5. Thales 19. Syarif A. 32. Pablo Oliveira 8. Fikri A. 6. Guevara J. 41. Santoso D. 30. Tuharea S. 11. Lokolingoy C.
Substitutes
45. Buddin S. 52. Darmawan R. (G) 72. Febrianatta Z. 25. Ferizal S. 6. Lucas 57. Madilesa F. 12. Rahman A. 20. Scheunemann B. 80. Skandari T. 56. Syuhada R. 26. Trisna S. (G) 27. Zalnando	22. Agung D. (G) 4. Anwar S. 13. Balinsa S. G. 94. Dalberto 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 12. Marasabessy M. 24. Rafli M. 23. Rifai M. 27. Setiawan D. 7. Tito Hamzah 10. Wilian Marcilio
Coaches
Agius G.	Cornelli J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Syarif A. 🟨,
24', Satryo A. ↓, Trisna S. ↑,
35', Thales 🟨,
39', Lokolingoy C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Santoso D. ↓, Setiawan D. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Setiawan T. ⚽, David M. (A),
57', Choi Bo-Kyung ↓, Anwar S. ↑,
58', Guevara J. ↓, Wilian Marcilio ↑,
58', Tuharea S. ↓, Dalberto ↑,
63', Ferrari J. 🟨,
67', Ardiansyah R. 🟥,
72', Paulo Gali ↓, Ferizal S. ↑,
72', Ramdhani W. ↓, Syuhada R. ↑,
72', Syarif A. ↓, Marasabessy M. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Dalberto ⚽, Setiawan D. (A),
89', David M. ↓, Zalnando ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Dalberto ⚽, Thales (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Semarang won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Semarang will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Semarang won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Semarang won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
20.09.24	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Persib Bandung - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Dewa United - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	PSIS Semarang - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Persis Solo - PSIS Semarang	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWW
- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
20.09.24	PSS Sleman - Arema	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	PSM Makassar - Arema	0:1 ✺
11.09.24	Bali United Pusam - Arema	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Persib Bandung - Arema	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Arema - Borneo Samarinda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
05.02.24	Arema - PSIS Semarang	1:4
09.08.23	PSIS Semarang - Arema	2:0
21.01.23	PSIS Semarang - Arema	1:0
30.07.22	Arema - PSIS Semarang	2:1
Indonesian President Cup
11.07.22	Arema - PSIS Semarang	2:1
07.07.22	PSIS Semarang - Arema	0:2
Indonesian Super League
17.01.22	PSIS Semarang - Arema	0:0

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