Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Jatidiri Stadium (Semarang)

Referee: Sanjaya B. (Ina)


	PSIS Semarang		Persikabo 1973

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.6	5.5
				Watch
	1.47	5.01	5.31
	1.48	5.02	5.31
	1.42	4.77	6	Watch
	1.44	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	4.82 ↓ (4.85)	5.62 ↓ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSIS Semarang
64.3%

Draw
19.2%

Persikabo 1973
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

18.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

13.3%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIS Semarang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Persikabo 1973 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSIS Semarang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persikabo 1973 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persikabo 1973 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

PSIS Semarang - Persikabo 1973 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Darmawan R. (G) 46. Suguyantoro F. 5. Prasetyo W. (C) 93. Lucao 3. Alhafiz H. 21. Diarra B. 68. Setiawan T. 11. Zola G. 14. Ardiansyah R. 17. Paulo Gali 10. Marukawa T.	22. Imam Arief (G) 5. Fathurahman I. 34. Setyo A. 13. Wahyu D. 4. Lasinari S. 11. Khant M. K. 18. Kemaluddin M. 12. Sugeng R. 58. Missa F. 97. Drajad M. (C) 99. Munawar Y.
Substitutes
76. Akbar H. (G) 45. Buddin S. 29. David S. 47. Dharmawangsa F. 99. Dimas E. 92. Latusonsina B. 18. Liana D. 57. Madilesa F. 15. Numberi G. 4. Sobor B.	16. Azhar Z. (G) 44. De Sousa E. 19. Ginting F. R. 8. Irfana R. 17. Medeiros C. 28. Oktavianto L. 93. Pedrinho 40. Pedro 66. Rifai S. 27. Selantika S.
Coaches
Agius G.	Nurdjaman D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Lucao ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Marukawa T. ⚽, Alhafiz H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Sugeng R. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
63', Kemaluddin M. ↓, Medeiros C. ↑,
72', Zola G. ↓, Liana D. ↑,
73', Wahyu D. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
78', Lasinari S. ↓, Rifai S. ↑,
78', Khant M. K. ↓, Oktavianto L. ↑,
78', Munawar Y. ↓, Pedro ↑,
79', Pedro 🟨,
82', Prasetyo W. 🟨,
83', 3 - 0, Liana D. ⚽, Paulo Gali (A),
84', Marukawa T. ↓, Madilesa F. ↑,
90+2', Paulo Gali ↓, Latusonsina B. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Persikabo 1973 is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Semarang won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Semarang is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Semarang won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Semarang won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
22.04.24	PSIS Semarang - RANS Nusantara	2:1 ✺
16.04.24	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	Barito Putera - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	PSIS Semarang - Persis Solo	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Bali United Pusam - PSIS Semarang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL
- Persikabo 1973
Indonesian Super League
22.04.24	Persis Solo - Persikabo 1973	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Persikabo 1973 - Bali United Pusam	3:2 ✺
28.03.24	Persik Kediri - Persikabo 1973	5:2 ✺
15.03.24	Persikabo 1973 - Persib Bandung	1:3 ✺
07.03.24	Dewa United - Persikabo 1973	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
20.10.23	Persikabo 1973 - PSIS Semarang	2:3
21.02.23	Persikabo 1973 - PSIS Semarang	0:0
09.09.22	PSIS Semarang - Persikabo 1973	3:2
28.02.22	PSIS Semarang - Persikabo 1973	1:0
18.11.21	Persikabo 1973 - PSIS Semarang	2:2
22.11.19	Persikabo 1973 - PSIS Semarang	1:2
02.08.19	PSIS Semarang - Persikabo 1973	0:2

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