What is the expert prediction for PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSM Makassar?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSM Makassar. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSM Makassar Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, February 08, 2026)

Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Cendrawasih Stadium (Biak)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	PSBS Biak Numfor		PSM Makassar

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	2.92	3.1	2.22
	2.97	3.37	2.4
	2.86	3.39	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.92	3.29	2.36
	2.85	3.2	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.83)	3.25 ↓ (3.61)	2.25 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSBS Biak Numfor
30.9%

Draw
28.3%

PSM Makassar
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25.8%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.1%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSBS Biak Numfor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSBS Biak Numfor's performance.

PSM Makassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSM Makassar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSBS Biak Numfor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSBS Biak Numfor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSM Makassar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. PSBS Biak will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kadu (G) 78. Ardiansyah H. 20. Barbosa E. 7. Blanco R. 3. Budiyono A. 6. Embalo S. 9. Hassan M. 10. Luquinhas 33. Pablo Andrade 27. Putra Y. 94. Susanto H. (C)	30. Arya R. (G) 29. Aditia F. 9. Alex Tanque 2. Aloisio Neto 6. Fandi R. 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 40. Gledson 13. Lasinari S. 98. Medina Themopole J. 24. Pratama R. 22. Victor Luiz
Substitutes
15. Agung A. 90. Alom N. 30. Armaiyn I. 26. Brown G. 92. Galih D. (G) 98. Gwijangge S. 87. Hadi I. 4. Hwang Myung-Hyun 25. Isa M. 23. Oktavianto L. 77. Siregar R. 46. Solossa T.	27. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 63. Boboev S. 99. Cumic L. 7. Dethan V. 71. Hidayat M. 94. Lagator D. 15. Pratama R. 68. Salman D. 32. Septiawan R. D. 51. Syamsuddin S. (G) 45. Tanjung A.
Coaches
Riyanto A. S.	Trucha T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Pratama R. ⚽, Victor Luiz (A),
45+1', Medina Themopole J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Fernandes Y. 🟨,
52', Susanto H. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Gledson ⚽, Fernandes Y. (A),
58', Medina Themopole J. ↓, Boboev S. ↑,
58', Alex Tanque ↓, Cumic L. ↑,
59', Ardiansyah H. ↓, Siregar R. ↑,
59', Barbosa E. ↓, Hwang Myung-Hyun ↑,
62', Embalo S. 🟨,
65', Aditia F. 🟨,
74', Aditia F. ↓, Pratama R. ↑,
75', Pratama R. ↓, Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Blanco R. ⚽, Pablo Andrade (A),
90', Fandi R. ↓, Tanjung A. ↑,
90+11', Arya R. 🟨,
90+13', Susanto H. 🟨,
90+14', Pratama R. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)

PSBS Biak has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Makassar is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Makassar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, PSBS Biak has had a series of away games.

Makassar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, PSBS Biak won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, PSBS Biak won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	PSM Makassar	34	8	10	16	39:49	-10	34
18	PSBS Biak Numfor	34	4	6	24	31:95	-64	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSBS Biak Numfor
Indonesian Super League
31.01.26	Madura United - PSBS Biak Numfor	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Persib Bandung - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:0 ✺
12.01.26	PSBS Biak Numfor - Bhayangkara	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Malut United - PSBS Biak Numfor	6:2 ✺
29.12.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TLWLT
- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
02.02.26	PSM Makassar - Semen Padang	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Persijap Jepara - PSM Makassar	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	PSM Makassar - Bali United Pusam	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Persib Bandung - PSM Makassar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
21.11.25	PSM Makassar - PSBS Biak Numfor	5:0
18.01.25	PSM Makassar - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:1
16.08.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - PSM Makassar	1:2