Match Info

Date: 25 March 2022, Friday


	PSM Makassar		Persiraja Banda Aceh

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	4.5	9.75
	1.31	4.3	8.6
	1.36	3.78	9.29
	1.33	4.55	9.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.61)	4.28 ↑ (3.51)	9.19 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSM Makassar
68.8%

Draw
21.3%

Persiraja Banda Aceh
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSM Makassar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSM Makassar's performance.

Persiraja Banda Aceh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persiraja Banda Aceh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSM Makassar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persiraja Banda Aceh than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persiraja Banda Aceh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	3.6%	7.1%

PSM Makassar - Persiraja Banda Aceh Predictions

Users Predictions: PSM Makassar will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 2).

Recent matches Makassar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Persiraja Banda Aceh has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Persiraja Banda Aceh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Makassar is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Makassar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Makassar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
21.03.22	Persija Jakarta - PSM Makassar	3:1 ✺
14.03.22	PSM Makassar - Persela Lamongan	2:2 ✺
10.03.22	Persipura Jayapura - PSM Makassar	0:0 ✺
06.03.22	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
01.03.22	PSS Sleman - PSM Makassar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTWT
- Persiraja Banda Aceh
Indonesian Super League
19.03.22	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Persikabo 1973	0:5 ✺
15.03.22	Borneo Samarinda - Persiraja Banda Aceh	2:1 ✺
11.03.22	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Bali United Pusam	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Persib Bandung - Persiraja Banda Aceh	3:1 ✺
27.02.22	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Barito Putera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
13.12.21	Persiraja Banda Aceh - PSM Makassar	0:0
Indonesian Premier League
21.09.13	PSM Makassar - Persiraja Banda Aceh	3:0

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