Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday

Location: Gelora BJ Habibie (Parepare City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport


	PSM Makassar		Sabah FA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.68	3.33	2.43
	2.7	3.4	2.3
	2.8	3.5	2.33	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (1.84)	3.37 ↓ (3.54)	2.39 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSM Makassar
34.5%

Draw
27.2%

Sabah FA
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

27.4%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSM Makassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSM Makassar's form might have worsened.

Sabah FA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabah FA's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSM Makassar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah FA than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabah FA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

PSM Makassar - Sabah FA Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Makassar will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Sabah will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabah: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pratama R. (G) 5. Gutawa E. 4. Fernandes Y. 27. Tahar S. 11. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 48. Arfan M. (C) 45. Tanjung A. 24. Pratama R. 8. Raehan A. 20. Silva A. 9. Bissa D.	31. Lim D. (G) 33. Tan D. 6. Park Tae-Su (C) 4. Gabriel Peres 27. Ko Kwang-Min 9. Cifu 22. Wilkin S. 5. Ting D. 67. Ramdani S. 16. Ramon 28. Lok D.
Substitutes
1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 17. Bakri R. 68. Daffa M. 7. Dethan V. 10. Everton 16. Ferizal S. 18. Harjito A. 71. Hidayat M. 33. Joao Pedro 39. Nambu K. 41. Nur Bangsawan A. 15. Pratama R.	3. Batuil R. 13. Dinesh R. 19. Fahmi K. (G) 91. Fazail I. 11. Firdaus Chew J. 15. Ghazali R. 1. Mustakim R. (G) 8. Roslan F. 20. Steven G. 71. Zakaria I.

Preview

Makassar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sabah is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sabah could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Makassar have a series of guest games.

Recently Sabah have a series of home games.

Makassar will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
30.09.23	PSIS Semarang - PSM Makassar	2:1 ✺
25.09.23	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	1:0 ✺
AFC Cup
21.09.23	Hai Phong - PSM Makassar	3:0 ✺
Indonesian Super League
15.09.23	PSM Makassar - Barito Putera	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	PSS Sleman - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWT
- Sabah FA
Malaysian Cup
25.09.23	Perak FA - Sabah FA	1:0 ✺
AFC Cup
21.09.23	Sabah FA - Hougang United	3:1 ✺
Malaysian Cup
15.09.23	Sabah FA - Perak FA	2:2 ✺
Malaysian Super League
26.08.23	Sabah FA - Negeri Sembilan	3:1 ✺
Malaysian Cup
19.08.23	Sabah FA - Kuching City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTWT

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