Match Info

Championship - Round 4

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Teladan (Medan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	PSMS Medan		Sriwijaya

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.8	8.5
				Watch
	1.23	5.2	9.76
	1.26	4.98	11.33	Watch
	1.28	4.7	9.6
	1.27	4.8	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.44)	4.9 ↑ (4.2)	9.48 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSMS Medan
71.9%

Draw
18.6%

Sriwijaya
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSMS Medan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSMS Medan's performance.

Sriwijaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PSMS Medan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - PSMS Medan (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. PSMS Medan (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Rahayu R. (G) 91. Cadenazzi F. 19. Fariz R. 16. Ferdiansyah Z. 20. Kim Jeung-Ho (C) 30. Lastori R. 15. Maring A. 6. Marsi R. 8. Qadri I. 62. Riza B. 23. Setiawan A.	21. Azhar Z. (G) 88. Adri M. 32. Ariyanto V. 25. Arya M. 22. Dwipan F. 53. Gultom D. 24. Mukti G. (C) 29. Pahlevi R. 68. Rahman F. 99. Sahbandi 82. Telaubun V.
Substitutes
24. Fahrezi Z. 1. Gunandi A. (G) 4. Gutawa E. 96. Hidayat M. 33. Kurniady J. 22. Ramadhan A. (G) 29. Rudiyana 77. Siregar G. 26. Tarigan K. 5. Tenang S. 25. Umam L. 32. Wijianto S.	55. Abdiansyah R. 80. Al Muzanni A. M. 26. Andika R. 2. Ardiansyah F. 28. Arsy M. 19. Cantona K. 5. Dermawan E. 18. Ibnu Yazid 10. Juliansyah R. 7. Nadhif 45. Surbay F. 9. Zico S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Cadenazzi F. (Pen),
34', Sahbandi ↓, Zico S. ↑,
34', Pahlevi R. ↓, Juliansyah R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cadenazzi F. ↓, Rudiyana ↑,
49', Mukti G. ↓, Dermawan E. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Ariyanto V. ⚽, Juliansyah R. (A),
56', Marsi R. ↓, Hidayat M. ↑,
63', Ariyanto V. ↓, Al Muzanni A. M. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Rudiyana ⚽, Lastori R. (A),
71', 3 - 1, Rudiyana ⚽,
72', Telaubun V. ↓, Ardiansyah F. ↑,
76', Lastori R. ↓, Siregar G. ↑,
78', Qadri I. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSMS Medan won 2.

Sriwijaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, PSMS Medan is the clear favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, PSMS Medan won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, PSMS Medan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSMS Medan
Indonesian Championship
28.09.25	PSMS Medan - Sumsel United	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	PSPS Riau - PSMS Medan	3:3 ✺
12.09.25	PSMS Medan - Persekat Tegal	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	PSMS Medan - Persikota Tangerang	3:1 ✺
10.02.25	Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLWL
- Sriwijaya
Indonesian Championship
27.09.25	Sriwijaya - Persiraja Banda Aceh	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Nusantara United - Sriwijaya	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Sriwijaya - Persikota Tangerang	1:0 ✺
30.01.25	Persikota Tangerang - Sriwijaya	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
10.02.25	Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan	1:0
19.01.25	PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya	2:0
11.01.25	PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya	1:0
12.10.24	Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan	0:0
17.12.23	Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan	2:2
23.10.23	PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya	2:2
18.09.22	PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya	2:1

PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide