Match Info

Championship - Round 19

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Teladan (Medan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	PSMS Medan		Sumsel United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.15	2.9
	2.23	3.34	2.95	Watch
	2.2	2.9	2.9
	2.23	3.13	3.01
	2.25	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.41)	3.12 ↓ (3.32)	2.93 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSMS Medan
40.5%

Draw
28.8%

Sumsel United
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSMS Medan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sumsel United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSMS Medan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumsel United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

PSMS Medan - Sumsel United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - PSMS Medan (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSMS Medan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Rahayu R. (G) 91. Cadenazzi F. 27. Cahya A. 10. Clayton 4. Gutawa E. 20. Kim Jeung-Ho (C) 7. Nugroho A. 12. Nurzaidin N. 68. Rahman F. 13. Saputra D. 5. Tenang S.	1. Dicki Agung (G) 66. Bajo I. 10. Dall'Oca 27. Fariel N. 5. Fernando Barbosa 99. Hidayat R. (C) 16. Ibrahim H. 9. Juninho 13. Karman K. 81. Kemaluddin M. 15. Wahyu D.
Substitutes
17. Alim Z. 18. Fazri M. 16. Ferdiansyah Z. 1. Gunandi A. (G) 33. Kurniady J. 30. Lastori R. 8. Qadri I. 62. Riza B. 29. Rudiyana 23. Setiawan A. 97. Wadil A. 32. Wijianto S.	18. Afrizal S. 22. Darmawan T. 19. Fariansyah A. 4. Fatchu Rochman M. 8. Gagarin J. 3. Kapisa O. 24. Kurniawan I. 25. Muzakkar K. 32. Ramadhan A. (G) 42. Zakaria

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Cadenazzi F. ⚽, Saputra D. (A),
28', Rahman F. 🟨,
35', Gutawa E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Fariel N. ↓, Afrizal S. ↑,
50', Kemaluddin M. ↓, Darmawan T. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Saputra D. ⚽,
62', 3 - 0, Cadenazzi F. ⚽, Nugroho A. (A),
74', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSMS Medan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, PSMS Medan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSMS Medan
Indonesian Championship
30.01.26	PSMS Medan - Adhyaksa Bekasi	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Garudayaksa - PSMS Medan	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Persiraja Banda Aceh - PSMS Medan	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	PSMS Medan - Isenmulang Kalteng	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Persikad Depok - PSMS Medan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWL
- Sumsel United
Indonesian Championship
30.01.26	Sumsel United - Garudayaksa	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Sriwijaya - Sumsel United	0:5 ✺
17.01.26	Isenmulang Kalteng - Sumsel United	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Sumsel United - PSPS Riau	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Persekat Tegal - Sumsel United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
24.11.25	Sumsel United - PSMS Medan	2:1
28.09.25	PSMS Medan - Sumsel United	2:0

PSMS Medan - Sumsel United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide