Match Info

Championship - Round 13

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Jakabaring Stadium (Palembang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Sriwijaya		PSMS Medan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.15	5.08	1.3	Watch
	9.5	4.33	1.3
	10	4.8	1.28
	4.5	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.04 ↑ (4.47)	4.55 ↑ (3.56)	1.36 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sriwijaya
11.5%

Draw
20.4%

PSMS Medan
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.9%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

22.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sriwijaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sriwijaya's form might have worsened.

PSMS Medan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSMS Medan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sriwijaya than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sriwijaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSMS Medan than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSMS Medan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - PSMS Medan (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75, 1st Half - PSMS Medan (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - PSMS Medan (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. PSMS Medan (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Pratama R. (G) 2. Ardiansyah F. 25. Arya M. 22. Dwipan F. 8. Fatchur N. 24. Mukti G. (C) 29. Pahlevi R. 68. Rahman F. 45. Surbay F. 12. Wicaksono T. 9. Zico S.	93. Rahayu R. (G) 10. Barata 19. Fariz R. 4. Gutawa E. 20. Kim Jeung-Ho (C) 30. Lastori R. 15. Maring A. 8. Qadri I. 62. Riza B. 29. Rudiyana 23. Setiawan A.
Substitutes
28. Arsy M. 21. Azhar Z. (G) 19. Cantona K. 31. Muyassir (G) 7. Nadhif 82. Telaubun V.	24. Fahrezi Z. 16. Ferdiansyah Z. 1. Gunandi A. (G) 96. Hidayat M. 33. Kurniady J. 12. Nurzaidin N. 31. Quba F. (G) 77. Siregar G. 26. Tarigan K. 5. Tenang S. 25. Umam L. 32. Wijianto S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Rudiyana ⚽, Barata (A),
16', 1 - 1, Zico S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Wicaksono T. 🟨,
56', Wicaksono T. ↓, Nadhif ↑,
57', Zico S. ↓, Telaubun V. ↑,
60', Setiawan A. ↓, Tenang S. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Maring A. ⚽,
66', Kim Jeung-Ho ↓, Ferdiansyah Z. ↑,
67', Maring A. 🟨,
68', 1 - 3, Rudiyana ⚽,
77', Fatchur N. ↓, Arsy M. ↑,
82', Barata ↓, Siregar G. ↑,
85', Tenang S. 🟨,
88', Surbay F. ↓, Cantona K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sriwijaya won 1.

Sriwijaya is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

PSMS Medan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, PSMS Medan is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sriwijaya won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sriwijaya won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sriwijaya
Indonesian Championship
24.11.25	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Sriwijaya	5:0 ✺
19.11.25	Sriwijaya - Persikad Depok	0:3 ✺
11.11.25	Garudayaksa - Sriwijaya	7:2 ✺
07.11.25	Sriwijaya - Isenmulang Kalteng	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sumsel United - Sriwijaya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLLT
- PSMS Medan
Indonesian Championship
24.11.25	Sumsel United - PSMS Medan	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	PSMS Medan - PSPS Riau	1:1 ✺
13.11.25	Persekat Tegal - PSMS Medan	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Adhyaksa Bekasi - PSMS Medan	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	PSMS Medan - Garudayaksa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
04.10.25	PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya	3:1
10.02.25	Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan	1:0
19.01.25	PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya	2:0
11.01.25	PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya	1:0
12.10.24	Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan	0:0
17.12.23	Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan	2:2
23.10.23	PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya	2:2

Sriwijaya - PSMS Medan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide