The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 45.1%
Draw 27.8%
Feirense 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
30.4%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
30.9%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paços de Ferreira's performance.
Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Feirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paços de Ferreira that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Paços de Ferreira - Feirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Feirense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafa (G) 21. Anilson 2. Cardoso G. 77. Rafael 15. Dias L. 26. Cunha N. 88. Francisco Ramos (C) 90. Lumungo R. 8. Costa D. 11. Fale M. 9. Victor J.
1. Meixedo F. (G) 20. Jojo 21. Fernandes E. 40. Mendes P. 16. Lopes A. 10. Ribeiro T. 6. Doumbia D. 2. Gustavo 22. Popoola S. 12. Ze Ricardo (C) 11. Nketia D.
Substitutes
47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 4. Kauan 28. Marafona (G) 22. Mota 19. Nito 13. Pinto J. 36. Silva V.
26. Altube D. (G) 23. de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 17. dos Santos L. 9. Klimov K. 4. Leal A. 15. Miguel 8. Novero G. 3. Robinho 5. Silva B.
Coaches
Braga N.
Costa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Nketia D. ⚽, Jojo (A),
10', 0 - 2, Ribeiro T. ⚽, Nketia D. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Costa D. ⚽, Lumungo R. (A),
35', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
40', Rafa 🟥,
45', Victor J. ↓, Marafona ↑,
45+5', Francisco Ramos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ze Ricardo ↓, de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ↑,
56', Rafael 🟨,
59', Doumbia D. 🟨,
64', Francisco Ramos ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
66', Meixedo F. 🟨,
69', de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 🟨,
73', de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ↓, Miguel ↑,
73', Doumbia D. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
73', Nketia D. ↓, Klimov K. ↑,
74', Anilson ↓, Silva V. ↑,
74', Fale M. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
74', Cunha N. ↓, Nito ↑,
83', Ribeiro T. ↓, Robinho ↑,
85', Popoola S. 🟨,
90+3', Jojo 🟨,
90+6', Miguel 🟨,
90+8', Lopes A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Paços de Ferreira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Feirense
6
0
1
5
1:8
-7
1
Last Results with these Odds
Paços de Ferreira - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Feirense - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.54%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Rafa (G) 
Anilson 
Lumungo R. 
Costa D. 
Doumbia D. 
Popoola S. 
Nketia D. 
Nito 
Altube D. (G) 
Klimov K. 
Novero G. 
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