Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5


	Felgueiras		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5
	1.72	3.45	4.65
	1.86	3.42	4.74
	1.77	3.59	4.5	Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.8
	1.7	3.54	4.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)	4.77 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
53.6%

Draw
26.8%

Paços de Ferreira
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felgueiras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Felgueiras - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mateus Pasinato (G) 3. Pinto J. 33. Dario 34. Silva A. 61. Eiro 8. Landinho (C) 6. Martins H. 18. Gabi 5. Parente T. 7. Rivas M. 19. Lucas Duarte	1. Rafa (G) 22. Mota 4. Kauan 23. Ferreira T. (C) 15. Dias L. 26. Cunha N. 88. Francisco Ramos 90. Lumungo R. 8. Costa D. 11. Fale M. 9. Victor J.
Substitutes
45. Aidara M. 77. Beni 20. Berna 17. Cruz F. 4. Dudu Cruz 25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 79. Leite T. 10. Michel Costa 9. Santos Teixeira L.	38. Coelho G. 47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 28. Marafona (G) 19. Nito 13. Pinto J. 36. Silva V. 5. Sousa A.
Coaches
Ferreira R.	Braga N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Pinto J. 🟨,
20', Ferreira T. 🟨,
36', Mota 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eiro ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
46', Martins H. ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
60', Fale M. 🟨,
67', Cunha N. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
79', Lucas Duarte ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
83', Victor J. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
83', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diegao ↑,
86', Mota ↓, Silva V. ↑,
86', Fale M. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
88', Rivas M. ↓, Leite T. ↑,
90+2', Diegao 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 15)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Paços de Ferreira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Felgueiras is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Felgueiras	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
04.04.26	Académico de Viseu - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Felgueiras - Torreense	0:3 ✺
13.03.26	Farense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Felgueiras - Vizela	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Feirense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTLT
- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
04.04.26	Paços de Ferreira - Marítimo	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Leiria - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Leixões - Paços de Ferreira	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:1
10.05.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:2
12.01.25	Felgueiras - Paços de Ferreira	1:0
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	4:4

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