Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Paços de Ferreira U19		Chaves U19

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.95	4.55
	1.66	3.72	4.66
	1.6	3.97	4.61
	1.61	4.26	4.68
	1.64	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	3.91 ↓ (4.05)	4.65 (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira U19
56.9%

Draw
23.4%

Chaves U19
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.1%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Chaves U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira U19 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves U19 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Paços de Ferreira U19 - Chaves U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

Paços U19 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paços U19 is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços U19 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paços U19 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
24.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Moreirense U19	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Porto U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	4:2 ✺
21.12.25	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Gil Vicente U19	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Braga U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- Chaves U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
10.01.26	Braga U19 - Chaves U19	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Rio Ave U19 - Chaves U19	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Chaves U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Moreirense U19 - Chaves U19	2:2 ✺
01.12.25	Chaves U19 - Porto U19	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
25.10.25	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Chaves U19	2:1
15.08.25	Chaves U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	0:0
20.04.24	Chaves U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	5:3
17.02.24	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Chaves U19	2:2
05.11.23	Chaves U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	1:2

Paços de Ferreira U19 - Chaves U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide