Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Paderborn II		Velbert

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.95	6.7
	1.4	4.9	6.62
	1.45	4.44	5.55	Watch
	1.33	4.65	7.4
	1.42	4.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	4.69 ↑ (4.44)	6.52 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn II
66.2%

Draw
19.6%

Velbert
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

20.6%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

15.7%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn II than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paderborn II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paderborn II - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Broger B. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Mockschan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
80', 2 - 1, de Jong T. (Pen),
85', 3 - 1, Lowelt L. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Goto H. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Paderborn II is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paderborn II won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Paderborn II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn II
German Regionalliga West
09.11.25	Fortuna Köln - Paderborn II	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Paderborn II - Bonner	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Paderborn II	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Paderborn II - Gütersloh	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Paderborn II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWLL
- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
08.11.25	Velbert - Wiedenbrück	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Köln II - Velbert	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Velbert - Schalke 04 II	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Velbert	5:0 ✺
03.10.25	Velbert - Rödinghausen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
05.05.24	Paderborn II - Velbert	1:1
10.11.23	Velbert - Paderborn II	2:2

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