Match Info

Serie B - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Padova		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.30	3.40	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.30
	2.14	3.35	3.30	Watch
	2.19	3.30	3.72
	2.2	3.3	3.27	Watch
	2.14	3.25	3.65
	2.14	3.37	3.47	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)	3.29 ↓ (3.42)	3.43 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
43.8%

Draw
28.7%

Ascoli
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Padova - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sorrentino A. (G) 27. Dellavalle A. 5. Lovato M. (C) 58. Pastina C. 24. Carissoni L. 14. Pompetti M. 21. Zuelli E. 7. Varas K. 23. Di Mariano F. 15. Lasagna K. 9. Moro L.	1. Vitale S. (G) 62. Milanese T. 30. Curado M. (C) 33. Rizzo N. 19. Guiebre A. 8. Corradini G. 4. Damiani S. 21. De Pieri G. 77. Bolsius D. 15. D'Uffizi S. 9. Chakir M. A.
Substitutes
20. Bortolussi M. 17. Capelli A. 10. Caprari G. 34. Cocchi M. 72. Faedo C. 8. Fusi P. 25. Galazzi N. 6. Giunti G. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 32. Sgarbi F. 18. Silletti E.	13. Acampora G. 99. Brunori M. 45. Crespi G. M. (G) 17. Diamanti F. 32. Gattoni F. 35. Gori G. 18. Lo Scalzo L. 3. Nicoletti M. 14. Oliveri A. 11. Perciun S. 27. Ricci M. 7. Silipo A.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Tomei F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Calabro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pompetti M. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
46', Di Mariano F. ↓, Cocchi M. ↑,
53', Zuelli E. 🟨,
56', Pastina C. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
59', Dellavalle A. 🟨,
59', De Pieri G. 🟨,
60', Lasagna K. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
62', Rizzo N. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Galazzi N. ⚽, Cocchi M. (A),
71', De Pieri G. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
72', Bolsius D. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
72', Chakir M. A. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
72', Milanese T. ↓, Oliveri A. ↑,
72', Varas K. ↓, Fusi P. ↑,
77', Fusi P. 🟨,
82', Damiani S. ↓, Acampora G. ↑,
90', Capelli A. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Padova has had a series of away games.

Padova might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Padova: Artistico G. (Inactive) Bortolussi M. (Inactive) Buonaiuto C. (Inactive) Papu Gomez (Ankle Injury) Zanimacchia L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ascoli: Alagna M. (Inactive) Brzan R. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Padova: 2.65% Ascoli: 2.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
06.09.26	Cremonese - Padova	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Padova - Verona	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Pisa - Padova	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Udinese - Padova	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cittadella - Padova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWLW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.09.26	Ascoli - Benevento	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ascoli - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Verona - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Genoa - Ascoli	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Ascoli - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.04.19	Padova - Ascoli	1:2
10.11.18	Ascoli - Padova	2:3
22.04.13	Ascoli - Padova	0:1
01.12.12	Padova - Ascoli	1:1
26.05.12	Padova - Ascoli	N/A

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