Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:15	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Padova		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.50	3.90
	1.82	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.92	3.44	4.45
	1.87	3.39	4.3	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.45
	1.82	3.44	4.38	Watch
	1.84	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.94)	3.43 ↑ (3.39)	4.25 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
50.6%

Draw
27.3%

Carrarese
22.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.3%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Padova - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sorrentino A. (G) 32. Sgarbi F. 5. Lovato M. (C) 27. Dellavalle A. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 21. Zuelli E. 10. Caprari G. 34. Cocchi M. 20. Bortolussi M. 9. Moro L.	1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 6. Oliana F. 33. Reale F. 7. Belloni N. 18. Schiavi N. (C) 23. Braunoder M. 77. Parlanti G. 73. Rouhi J. 9. Abiuso F. 10. Rubino T.
Substitutes
90. Artistico G. 23. Di Mariano F. 25. Galazzi N. 6. Giunti G. 15. Lasagna K. 74. Marcolini D. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 58. Pastina C. 14. Pompetti M. 11. Seghetti A. 18. Silletti E. 7. Varas K.	11. Cisse M. 70. Cudrig N. 32. Finotto M. 12. Garofani G. (G) 78. Guercio T. 91. Marconi G. 28. Martini J. 66. Pinelli P. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 41. Romani L. 17. Topalovic L. 4. Vujevic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Rubino T. ⚽, Parlanti G. (A),
40', Oliana F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abiuso F. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
46', Bortolussi M. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Rouhi J. ⚽, Belloni N. (A),
51', Caprari G. 🟨,
56', Cocchi M. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
56', Caprari G. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
60', Rubino T. ↓, Topalovic L. ↑,
62', Braunoder M. 🟨,
67', Fusi P. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
72', Schiavi N. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
72', Rouhi J. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
79', Moro L. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
80', Belloni N. 🟨,
82', Parlanti G. 🟨,
90+3', Parlanti G. ↓, Cudrig N. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 20th in the Relegation).

Padova has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Carrarese has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Padova is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Padova: Artistico G. (Inactive) Barreca A. (Inactive) Buonaiuto C. (Muscle Injury) Carissoni L. (Red Card) Zanimacchia L. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Carrarese: Vujevic D. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Padova has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 0.7:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Padova against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Padova	10	4	2	4	10:11	-1	14
14	Carrarese	9	3	1	5	9:10	-1	10

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Padova: 0.8% Carrarese: 0.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Palermo - Padova	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Padova - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Cremonese - Padova	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Padova - Verona	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Pisa - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWLTW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Carrarese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Carrarese - Empoli	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ascoli - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Carrarese - Mantova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.02.26	Padova - Carrarese	1:0
31.08.25	Carrarese - Padova	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
23.11.16	Carrarese - Padova	0:1

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