Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 23Date: 8 February 2026, SundayLocation: Stadio Giovanni Paolo II (Francavilla Fontana)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Virtus Francavilla |
|
Paganese |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.67 |
2.74 |
2.73 |
|
 |
2.71 |
2.81 |
2.71 |
 Watch |
 |
2.7 |
2.63 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.65 |
2.76 |
2.68 |
|
 |
2.71 |
2.75 |
2.71 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.95) |
2.74 ↓
(2.85) |
2.69 ↑
(2.33) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Virtus Francavilla
33.6% | Draw
32.9% | Paganese
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paganese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Virtus Francavilla - Paganese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Labriola V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Francavilla won 0.Virtus Francavilla is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).Paganese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Virtus Francavilla won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.2:1).Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Francavilla won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group H | | | 05.10.25 | Paganese - Virtus Francavilla | 1:1 | | Italian Serie C Group C | | | 13.03.22 | Virtus Francavilla - Paganese | 3:3 | | 30.10.21 | Paganese - Virtus Francavilla | 2:1 | | 17.02.21 | Virtus Francavilla - Paganese | 0:0 | | 21.10.20 | Paganese - Virtus Francavilla | 0:0 | | 26.01.20 | Virtus Francavilla - Paganese | 2:0 | | 15.09.19 | Paganese - Virtus Francavilla | 2:2 |
|
Bet รยฃ10 and get รยฃ30 in Free Bets
