The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paganese 59.6%
Draw 27%
Francavilla 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
26.3%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
25.5%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Paganese - Francavilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Skoric M. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Costanzo P. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, D'Agostino B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 3, Da Silva J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).
Paganese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Francavilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Francavilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Paganese is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paganese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.