The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paganese 44.1%
Draw 27.1%
Santa Maria Cilento 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
28%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
23.9%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Paganese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (+4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Coratella C. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Coratella C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 3 - 0, Coratella C. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Paganese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Santa Maria Cilento has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).