Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Play Offs - Final

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Martina Calcio		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.05	3.2
	2.15	2.95	3.11
	2.21	3	3.25	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.15	3.08	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)	3 ↓ (3.2)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Martina Calcio
41.8%

Draw
30.1%

Paganese
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martina Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The chances for Paganese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martina Calcio than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Martina Calcio - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, El Haddadi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Martina won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Martina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Martina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Martina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Martina Calcio	6	4	0	2	12:7	5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martina Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
10.05.26	Martina Calcio - Nardo	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Città di Fasano - Martina Calcio	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Martina Calcio - Real Normanna	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Gravina - Martina Calcio	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Martina Calcio - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
10.05.26	Città di Fasano - Paganese	1:2 ET ✺
11.04.26	Paganese - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Real Normanna - Paganese	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ferrandina - Paganese	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Paganese - Martina Calcio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
22.03.26	Paganese - Martina Calcio	3:2
09.11.25	Martina Calcio - Paganese	0:1
07.04.24	Martina Calcio - Paganese	3:1
26.11.23	Paganese - Martina Calcio	0:1
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.16	Paganese - Martina Calcio	3:1
13.09.15	Martina Calcio - Paganese	1:1
03.05.15	Paganese - Martina Calcio	0:0

Martina Calcio - Paganese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide