Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)


	Casarano		Paganese

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4.1
	1.89	3.03	4.04
	1.89	3.03	4.04
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.84	3.13	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	4.14 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
49%

Draw
29.3%

Paganese
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

28.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Corvino V. ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, Perez L. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Casarano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Casarano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
17.03.24	Angri - Casarano	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Casarano - Città di Fasano	5:0 ✺
03.03.24	Altamura - Casarano	1:0 ✺
28.02.24	Casarano - Martina Calcio	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Casarano - Gravina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTW
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
17.03.24	Paganese - Palmese 1914	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Fidelis Andria - Paganese	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Paganese - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Paganese - Bitonto	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Manfredonia - Paganese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
12.11.23	Paganese - Casarano	0:1

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