Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 34Date: 4 May 2025, SundayLocation: Stadio Giovanni Paolo II (Francavilla Fontana)
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 |
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 |
|
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Virtus Francavilla |
|
Ugento |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
1.93 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3.55 |
1.97 |
|
 |
3.23 |
3.67 |
1.98 |
 Watch |
 |
3.22 |
3.56 |
1.97 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3.55 |
1.97 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↓
(3.26) |
3.59 ↓
(3.65) |
1.96 ↑
(1.94) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Virtus Francavilla
28.5% | Draw
25.3% | Ugento
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Ugento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (+3%)Virtus Francavilla - Ugento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 🟥,
- 80', 1 - 0, Diop M. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Pascual D. R. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Ugento could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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