Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Paiosaco		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	4.39	3.18	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↓ (4.53)	3.14 ↓ (3.27)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paiosaco
22%

Draw
29%

Bergantiños
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

28.3%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

27.9%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paiosaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 1, Pedrosa D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Paiosaco is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bergantiños is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Paiosaco won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Paiosaco won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.04.24	Gran Peña - Paiosaco	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Paiosaco - Arosa	0:3 ✺
28.03.24	Paiosaco - Sarriana	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Rápido de Bouzas - Paiosaco	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Viveiro - Paiosaco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLLWL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.04.24	Bergantiños - Arosa	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Sarriana - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Silva SD - Bergantiños	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Bergantiños - Betanzos	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Bergantiños - Estradense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.11.23	Bergantiños - Paiosaco	3:0
18.10.20	Paiosaco - Bergantiños	1:1
14.12.19	Paiosaco - Bergantiños	0:0
10.02.19	Bergantiños - Paiosaco	1:0

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