Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	Sarriana		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.13	3.24	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.25	3.05	2.16
	3.1	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.04)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	2.17 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
29%

Draw
29.3%

Bergantiños
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.6%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

29%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Sarriana - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Levrand M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sarriana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bergantiños will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	UD Ourense - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sarriana - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Langreo - Sarriana	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Sarriana - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sarriana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWTL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Bergantiños - Sámano	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lealtad - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Bergantiños - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Bergantiños - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	UD Ourense - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
31.03.24	Sarriana - Bergantiños	0:1
12.11.23	Bergantiños - Sarriana	1:1

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