Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent)

Referee: Nasibullayev S. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Futbol TV


	Pakhtakor		AGMK

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.65
	1.73	3.52	4.98
	1.7	3.39	4.88	Watch
	1.62	3.3	4.75
	1.66	3.66	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	3.47 ↓ (3.72)	4.89 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
54.9%

Draw
26.3%

AGMK
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.8%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Pakhtakor - AGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 5. Khamraliev M. 34. Nasrullaev S. 17. Khamdamov D. 10. Mozgovoy A. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. (C) 77. Bozorov O. 50. Flamarion 14. Turdimurodov R.	23. Abdunabiev K. (G) 7. Akhmadaliev D. 44. Karimov A. 6. Ulmasaliev A. 22. Ahrorov S. 5. Papava G. (C) 17. Abdurazzakov N. 28. Sentoku A. 88. Haghnazari S. 10. Sobirzhonov A. 9. Kholmurodov A.
Substitutes
20. Abdullaev D. 3. Azmiddinov S. 23. Buriev A. 15. Erkinov K. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 19. Parzyszek P. 21. Resan B. 8. Saitov D.	11. Abdurakhmonov A. 13. Begimov E. 35. Ilyosov J. (G) 18. Islamov R. 27. Kojic U. 4. Kosimov M. 3. Toirov S. 8. Turdialiev A. 21. Tursunkulov K.
Coaches
Tadzhiev K.	Kasymov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Flamarion ⚽, Alizhonov K. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Khamdamov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Kholmurodov A. ⚽,
59', Ulmasaliev A. ↓, Toirov S. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Khamraliev M. ⚽, Flamarion (A),
63', Turdimurodov R. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
72', Sobirkhuzhaev S. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
72', Bozorov O. ↓, Erkinov K. ↑,
72', Khamdamov D. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
77', Haghnazari S. ↓, Islamov R. ↑,
77', Sentoku A. ↓, Abdurakhmonov A. ↑,
77', Sobirzhonov A. ↓, Kojic U. ↑,
81', Flamarion ↓, Buriev A. ↑,
87', Abdurazzakov N. ↓, Tursunkulov K. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 0.

In recent matches, Pakhtakor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AGMK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Pakhtakor is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:20. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pakhtakor	22	14	7	1	39:20	19	49
5	OKMK	22	10	5	7	31:29	2	35

Last Results with these Odds

Pakhtakor - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.16%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
20.03.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Pakhtakor	2:4 ✺
Uzbek Super Cup
15.03.26	Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
Uzbek League
10.03.26	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Kokand 1912 - Pakhtakor	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Pakhtakor - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW
- FC AGMK
Uzbek League
18.03.26	Qizilqum - AGMK	0:1 ✺
12.03.26	AGMK - Sogdiana Jizzakh	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Xorazm Urganch - AGMK	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	AGMK - Bunyodkor	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Akhmat Grozny - AGMK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
05.08.25	Pakhtakor - AGMK	1:2
16.03.25	AGMK - Pakhtakor	2:0
21.11.24	Pakhtakor - AGMK	0:2
21.06.24	AGMK - Pakhtakor	4:2
28.09.23	Pakhtakor - AGMK	2:2
22.04.23	AGMK - Pakhtakor	1:2
15.09.22	AGMK - Pakhtakor	0:2

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