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Current Win Probability
Pakhtakor 50.8%
Draw 26.9%
Dinamo Samarqand 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
23%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.8%
21.9%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pakhtakor's form might have worsened.
Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Samarqand's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pakhtakor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Samarqand, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 5. Khamraliev M. 34. Nasrullaev S. 10. Mozgovoy A. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. (C) 23. Buriev A. 11. Erkinov K. 17. Khamdamov D. 21. Resan B.
27. Nemanov E. (G) 20. Jumaboev J. 5. Dembele M. 6. Urozov J. 22. Abdullaev U. 4. Tukhtasinov N. 15. Yuldashev R. 44. Sarfo K. 7. Kodirkulov S. 10. Khozhimirzaev A. (C) 8. Amanov A.
Substitutes
20. Abdullaev D. 3. Azmiddinov S. 50. Flamarion 9. Ibrokhimov I. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 19. Parzyszek P. 8. Saitov D. 4. Tahseen Z. 14. Turdimurodov R.
21. Abdusalomov J. 71. Karimov S. (G) 11. Khalilov K. 99. Khoshimov U. 24. Khudoyberdiev A. 97. Mavretic T. 17. Mustafoev S. 77. Oblakulov B. 16. Salou D.
Coaches
Tadzhiev K.
Abramov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Khamdamov D. ⚽,
15', Mozgovoy A. 🟨,
20', Urozov J. 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Resan B. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Khozhimirzaev A. ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, Amanov A. ⚽,
31', Dembele M. 🟨,
45+6', Yuldashev R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 3 - 2, Khamdamov D. ⚽,
61', Kodirkulov S. ↓, Mavretic T. ↑,
71', 4 - 2, Resan B. ⚽,
72', Tukhtasinov N. ↓, Abdusalomov J. ↑,
76', Sarfo K. ↓, Oblakulov B. ↑,
76', Yuldashev R. ↓, Salou D. ↑,
79', Mozgovoy A. ↓, Tahseen Z. ↑,
84', Khamdamov D. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
84', Resan B. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 2.
Pakhtakor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Dinamo Samarqand has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Dinamo Samarqand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Pakhtakor is the clear favorite.
We predict that Pakhtakor will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:14. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
Uzbekistan
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Kuvvatov S. (G) 
Resan B. 
Dembele M. 
Sarfo K. 
Flamarion 
Parzyszek P. 
Mavretic T. 
Salou D. 
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