The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pakhtakor 55.6%
Draw 25.5%
Nasaf Qarshi 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.1%
26.3%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
23.5%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pakhtakor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi Predictions
Users Predictions:
Pakhtakor will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 55. Abdumazhidov M. 7. Alizhonov K. 23. Buriev A. 50. Flamarion 17. Khamdamov D. 10. Mozgovoy A. 34. Nasrullaev S. 21. Resan B. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. 4. Tahseen Z.
1. Nematov A. (G) 10. Abdikholikov B. 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 6. Bakhromov S. 27. Berdirahmonov Y. 92. Eshmurodov U. 5. Gaybullaev G. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 17. Rakhmatov M. 15. Rustamov O. 32. Xushvaqtov Q.
Substitutes
3. Azmiddinov S. 77. Bozorov O. 15. Erkinov K. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 5. Khamraliev M. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 19. Parzyszek P. . Saitov D. 14. Turdimurodov R.
55. Abdunazarov D. 33. Khalilov B. 4. Komilov A. 16. Muratbaev S. (G) 23. Murtazoyev D. 20. Otubanjo Y. 76. Sadullayev Z. 99. Sokari K. 80. Usmonov D.
Coaches
Tadzhiev K.
Berdiev R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Gaybullaev G. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Alizhonov K. ⚽,
45+2', Xushvaqtov Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Berdirahmonov Y. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
46', Rakhmatov M. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Bakhromov S. ⚽,
60', Buriev A. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
60', Resan B. ↓, Erkinov K. ↑,
67', Khamdamov D. ↓, Bozorov O. ↑,
67', Nasrullaev S. ↓, Saitov D. ↑,
78', Tahseen Z. ↓, Khamraliev M. ↑,
80', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Murtazoyev D. ↑,
90', Xushvaqtov Q. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Flamarion (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 2 - 2, Abdikholikov B. ⚽,
90+4', Abdikholikov B. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 1.
Pakhtakor has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Nasaf has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Pakhtakor is the team to beat.
We predict that Pakhtakor will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Pakhtakor
22
14
7
1
39:20
19
49
6
Nasaf Qarshi
22
9
7
6
33:21
12
34
Last Results with these Odds
Pakhtakor - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 55.13%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Kuvvatov S. (G) 
Flamarion 
Resan B. 
Parzyszek P. 
Otubanjo Y. 
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