Match Info

NB I. - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Paksi SE		Győri ETO

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	2.82	3.65	2.15
	2.96	3.78	2.16
	2.92	3.78	2.19	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	2.9	3.54	2.12
	2.9	3.66	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.76)	3.63 ↓ (3.72)	2.15 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
32.1%

Draw
25.3%

Győri ETO
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

23.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Győri ETO has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Győri ETO than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Paksi SE - Győri ETO Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Győri ETO will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Győri ETO (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacsik A. (G) 11. Bevardi Z. 24. Lenzser B. 30. Szabo J. (C) 5. Vecsei B. 14. Silye E. 17. Hinora K. 19. Horvath K. 8. Balogh B. 18. Gyurkits G. 29. Toth B.	16. Megyeri B. (G) 20. Biro B. 21. Csinger M. 24. Krpic M. 23. Stefulj D. 27. Vitalis M. (C) 6. Toth R. 11. Njie N. 80. Gavric Z. 17. Schon S. 7. Benbouali N.
Substitutes
7. Adam M. 9. Hahn J. 23. Mate C. 25. Simon B. (G) 26. Szekszardi M. 15. Szendrei A. 6. Tamas O. 22. Windecker J. 20. Zeke M.	90. Banati K. 25. Boldor D. 64. Brecska D. (G) 10. Bumba C. 47. Decsy A. 96. Huszar M. 18. Miangue S. 99. Petras S. (G) 19. Pyshchur O. 14. Szep M. 2. Vladoiu S. 76. Zivkovic J.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Borbely B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, Schon S. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Vitalis M. ⚽, Biro B. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Schon S. ⚽,
40', Gyurkits G. 🟨,
42', 1 - 3, Toth B. ⚽, Balogh B. (A),
43', Schon S. 🟨,
43', Lenzser B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hinora K. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
46', Gyurkits G. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
54', Njie N. ↓, Banati K. ↑,
60', Bevardi Z. ↓, Zeke M. ↑,
66', Horvath K. ↓, Mate C. ↑,
69', Schon S. ↓, Bumba C. ↑,
74', 1 - 4, Csinger M. ⚽, Stefulj D. (A),
75', Silye E. ↓, Szekszardi M. ↑,
77', Krpic M. 🟨,
78', 2 - 4, Balogh B. ⚽,
80', Toth B. 🟨,
85', 3 - 4, Adam M. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Toth R. 🟨,
89', Gavric Z. ↓, Boldor D. ↑,
90', Stefulj D. ↓, Miangue S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 0.

Paks is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Győri ETO is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Győri ETO may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Győri ETO is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paks won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Gyor	8	4	3	1	16:10	6	15
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
14.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	1:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
11.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	2:6 ✺
Hungarian NB I
07.02.26	Debreceni - Paksi SE	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Puskás Academy - Paksi SE	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW
- Győri ETO FC
Hungarian NB I
15.02.26	Győri ETO - Kisvárda	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
12.02.26	Győri ETO - Videoton	2:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
07.02.26	Diósgyőri - Győri ETO	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Győri ETO - Debreceni	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Győri ETO	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
01.11.25	Győri ETO - Paksi SE	0:0
27.07.25	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	3:3
26.04.25	Győri ETO - Paksi SE	2:0
01.02.25	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	1:1
22.09.24	Győri ETO - Paksi SE	2:1
30.11.14	Győri ETO - Paksi SE	2:2
27.07.14	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	2:0

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