Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Paksi SE		Maribor

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.41	3.21	2.91
	2.22	3.12	3.36	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9
	2.47	3.29	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.15)	3.16 ↓ (3.22)	2.94 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
39%

Draw
29.4%

Maribor
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Paksi SE - Maribor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Maribor will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paks: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Paks (votes: 1 - 25%). Maribor (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.43) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacsik A. (G) 2. Kinyik A. 12. Vas G. 5. Vecsei B. 17. Hinora K. 22. Windecker J. 8. Balogh B. 21. Papp K. 20. Zeke M. 29. Toth B. 10. Haraszti Z. (C)	1. Jug A. (C) 5. Sirvys P. 6. Mbondo B. 44. Rekik O. 3. Bumbic C. 21. Borys K. 41. Bamba M. 8. Taylor E. 2. Soudani El A. 99. Mbina O. 7. Komaromi G.
Substitutes
13. Bode D. 27. Galambos J. 28. Gyetvan M. (G) 18. Gyurkits G. 9. Hahn J. 19. Horvath K. 4. Lapu A. 14. Silye E. 25. Simon B. (G) 30. Szabo J. 26. Szekszardi M. 15. Szendrei A.	81. Antonic N. (G) 16. Grlic N. 29. Gucek L. 43. Handanovic T. (G) 23. Rasheed A. 15. Repas J. 10. Repas Z. 12. Sikosek G. 55. Spanring M. 30. Tetteh B. 70. Tshipamba I. 4. Viher N.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Tanrivermis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Rekik O. 🟨,
36', Vecsei B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Borys K. ↓, Repas J. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Windecker J. ⚽, Balogh B. (A),
58', Mbina O. ↓, Tetteh B. ↑,
58', Komaromi G. ↓, Tshipamba I. ↑,
70', Toth B. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
78', Haraszti Z. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
78', Sirvys P. ↓, Spanring M. ↑,
82', Taylor E. ↓, Repas Z. ↑,
90+2', Kinyik A. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Paks has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Paks has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	CFR Cluj - Paksi SE	3:0 ✺
10.07.25	Paksi SE - CFR Cluj	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.25	Paksi SE - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Paksi SE - Szeged 2011	6:1 ✺
19.06.25	Paksi SE - Budaörsi SC	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWW
- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.07.25	Maribor - Celje	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Maribor - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Maribor - Hull City U21	Canceled ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
25.05.25	Maribor - Nafta	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Koper - Maribor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LT?LT

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