Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Referee: Ilic P. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Paksi SE		CFR Cluj

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.88
	3.7	3.55	1.88	Watch
	3.66	3.73	1.92
				Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	4.19	3.56	1.9	Watch
	4	3.45	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.08)	3.5 ↑ (3.29)	1.88 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
23.8%

Draw
26.6%

CFR Cluj
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.3%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27.4%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paksi SE's form might have worsened.

CFR Cluj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CFR Cluj's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paksi SE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CFR Cluj than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CFR Cluj, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	10.2%	81.5%

Paksi SE - CFR Cluj Predictions

Users Predictions: 102 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 9 - 8.8%). Cluj will win (votes: 86 - 84.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cluj: 77.2% – 91.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Cluj (1.38) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Paks (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Paks (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Cluj (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): CFR Cluj will win (38 of 46 users predict this - 82.61%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 53 Selected Experts predict this event. Paks (votes: 7 - 13.2%). Cluj (votes: 41 - 77.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 9.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacsik A. (G) 24. Lenzser B. 12. Vas G. 5. Vecsei B. 17. Hinora K. 21. Papp K. 22. Windecker J. 8. Balogh B. 20. Zeke M. 10. Haraszti Z. (C) 29. Toth B.	89. Hindrich O. (G) 3. Abeid A. 4. Bolgado L. 27. Ilie M. 45. Camora M. (C) 73. Muhar K. 18. Emerllahu L. 17. Korenica M. 96. Nkololo B. 19. Gjorgjievski M. 7. Kamara M.
Substitutes
13. Bode D. 27. Galambos J. 28. Gyetvan M. (G) 18. Gyurkits G. 9. Hahn J. 19. Horvath K. 2. Kinyik A. 14. Silye E. 25. Simon B. (G) 30. Szabo J. 26. Szekszardi M. 15. Szendrei A.	33. Bosec A. 88. Djokovic D. 44. Dumbravanu D. 8. Fica A. 1. Gal R. (G) 90. Grigor R. 86. Kun V. 99. Micai A. (G) 11. Paun A. 93. Postolachi V. 29. Samake M. 6. Sinyan S.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Petrescu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Lenzser B. 🟨,
63', Windecker J. 🟨,
64', Muhar K. ↓, Fica A. ↑,
65', Lenzser B. ↓, Kinyik A. ↑,
73', Gjorgjievski M. ↓, Samake M. ↑,
73', Nkololo B. ↓, Postolachi V. ↑,
73', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
73', Haraszti Z. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
80', Bolgado L. 🟨,
83', Kamara M. ↓, Djokovic D. ↑,
83', Abeid A. ↓, Bosec A. ↑,
89', Vas G. ↓, Szabo J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Paks has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cluj is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Paks has had a series of home games.

Cluj might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

CFR Cluj - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
Club Friendly
29.06.25	Paksi SE - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Paksi SE - Szeged 2011	6:1 ✺
19.06.25	Paksi SE - Budaörsi SC	6:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
23.05.25	Paksi SE - Kecskemeti	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Debreceni - Paksi SE	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWTT
- CFR Cluj
Romanian Super Cup
05.07.25	FCSB - CFR Cluj	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.25	CFR Cluj - Debreceni	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	CFR Cluj - Dynamo České Budějovice	3:0 ✺
26.06.25	Grazer AK - CFR Cluj	2:2 ✺
23.06.25	CFR Cluj - Slovan Bratislava	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWTW

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