Match Info

Prva liga - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Ljudski vrt (Maribor)

Referee: Matkovic A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 8
Slovenia	Sport TV1


	Maribor		Celje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.40	2.90
	2.2	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.44	3.6	2.84
	2.14	3.75	3.02	Watch
	2.4	3.45	2.75
	2.44	3.64	2.6	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.41)	3.52 ↑ (3.43)	2.83 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maribor
40.7%

Draw
26.4%

Celje
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

26.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Maribor - Celje Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jug A. (C) 25. Blazic M. 3. Bumbic C. 7. Cipot T. 8. Goncalves C. 23. Karnicnik Z. 6. Mbondo B. 38. Osterc N. 10. Repas Z. 70. Tshipamba I. 79. Zahovic L.	1. Leban Z. (G) 11. Avdyli M. 44. Bejger L. 91. Dukuly Y. 77. Ivansek M. 47. Kucys A. 8. Kvesic M. 10. Seslar S. 6. Tutyskinas A. 7. Verbic B. 19. Zabukovnik M.
Substitutes
99. Feta B. 43. Handanovic T. (G) 5. Jevsenak Z. 21. Koderman V. 11. Reghba A. 14. Seri J. 55. Spanring M. 15. Taylor E. 50. Vidmar L. 4. Viher N. 29. Vizinger D. 24. Zabukovec A.	27. Calusic I. 13. Daniel P. 20. Dionkou A. 4. Hrka D. 33. Koutris L. 9. Kramer B. 32. Letonja T. 2. Sirvys P. 21. Sluga S. (G) 25. Tusha V. 3. Vuklisevic D. 15. Zuzek Z.
Coaches
Milanic D.	Zeljkovic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Bejger L. 🟨,
67', Kucys A. ↓, Kramer B. ↑,
67', Repas Z. ↓, Feta B. ↑,
68', Goncalves C. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
75', Seslar S. 🟨,
78', Ivansek M. ↓, Dionkou A. ↑,
79', Verbic B. ↓, Tusha V. ↑,
85', Bumbic C. ↓, Koderman V. ↑,
85', Zahovic L. ↓, Vizinger D. ↑,
86', Osterc N. ↓, Viher N. ↑,
90+3', Dukuly Y. ↓, Sirvys P. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maribor won 0.

Maribor is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Celje is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Celje may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Maribor holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Maribor has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:30 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Maribor against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:13 goals (averaging 1.4:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maribor	12	6	6	0	21:9	12	24
6	Celje	11	4	4	3	12:11	1	16

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Maribor: 44.89% Celje: 18.95%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.10.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Maribor	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.09.26	Maribor - Gorica	1:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.09.26	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Radomlje - Maribor	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Maribor - Mura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTWT
- NK Celje
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Celje - Omonia	0:3 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.10.26	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Mura - Celje	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Celje	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
12.09.26	NK Bravo - Celje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
01.08.26	Celje - Maribor	1:1
04.04.26	Celje - Maribor	1:0
01.02.26	Maribor - Celje	3:3
27.09.25	Celje - Maribor	3:0
20.07.25	Maribor - Celje	1:2
07.05.25	Maribor - Celje	1:1
Slovenian Cup
02.04.25	Maribor - Celje	0:1

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