Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 23Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Palencia CA |
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La Virgen del Camino |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.82 |
2.88 |
4.65 |
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1.85 |
3.02 |
4.65 |
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1.85 |
2.8 |
4.8 |
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1.79 |
2.93 |
4.97 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↓ (1.85) |
2.91 ↓ (2.93) |
4.77 ↑ (4.53) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Palencia CA 49.7% | Draw 31.2% | La Virgen del Camino 19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Palencia CA - La Virgen del Camino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 8).Palencia CA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).La Virgen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).La Virgen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Palencia CA is considered a favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palencia CA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Palencia CA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Palencia CA | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
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| 7 | La Virgen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 11.10.25 | La Virgen del Camino - Palencia CA | 0:2 | | 11.05.25 | La Virgen del Camino - Palencia CA | 5:1 | | 11.01.25 | Palencia CA - La Virgen del Camino | 2:0 | | 06.04.24 | La Virgen del Camino - Palencia CA | 1:0 | | 18.11.23 | Palencia CA - La Virgen del Camino | 3:1 |
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