Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Mirandés B		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.98	2.92
	2.38	3.26	2.79
	2.21	3.03	3.29	Watch
	2.49	3.14	2.88
	2.42	3	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3)	3.08 ↑ (2.6)	2.94 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés B
38.8%

Draw
29.9%

Palencia CA
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

32.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

31.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirandés B's performance.

Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palencia CA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés B than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirandés B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palencia CA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirandés B - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Mirandés B is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Palencia CA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Palencia CA	5	3	1	1	6:3	3	10
17	Mirandes B	5	0	1	4	2:7	-5	1

Last Results with these Odds

Mirandés B - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.33%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Palencia CA - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 38.98%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirandés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.01.26	Becerril - Mirandés B	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Villaralbo - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Mirandés B - Arandina	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Mirandés B - Colegios Diocesanos	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Bembibre - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWL
- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.01.26	Palencia CA - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Palencia CA - Colegios Diocesanos	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Unionistas B - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Palencia CA - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Leonesa B - Palencia CA	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.09.25	Palencia CA - Mirandés B	1:0
20.04.25	Palencia CA - Mirandés B	1:2
06.12.24	Mirandés B - Palencia CA	0:0
20.04.24	Mirandés B - Palencia CA	1:0
02.12.23	Palencia CA - Mirandés B	2:0

Mirandés B - Palencia CA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide