Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 14

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Palmeiras		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.3	4.75	7.5
	1.38	4.58	7.77
				Watch
	1.37	4.67	8.09
	1.3	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.78)	4.65 ↑ (4.35)	7.47 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
68.1%

Draw
19.7%

Fluminense
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

22.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

21.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palmeiras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Palmeiras - Fluminense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tapia K. (G) 9. Amanda Gutierres 7. Brena Carolina (C) 99. Espinales J. 6. Fe Palermo 5. Ingryd Lima 19. Lais Melo 13. Pati Maldaner 3. Poliana 77. Rhayanna 29. Taina Maranhao	1. Claudia (G) 18. Camila Oliveira 9. Chu Santos 33. Cotrim 15. Debora Sorriso 3. Gislaine (C) 11. Kamilla 21. Lele 4. Nath Rodrigues 10. Palomar E. 77. Raquel
Substitutes
1. Amanda (G) 88. Ana Julia 21. Carla Tays 8. Diany Martins 17. Isadora Amaral 61. Mocelin J. 42. Ravena (G) 10. Rincon Y. 30. Soll 18. Stefanie 2. Vitorinha	31. Cacau 27. Carioca 5. Claudinha 2. Isabela 20. Keke 12. Leticia Bussatto (G) 7. Lurdinha 17. Paloma 6. Tata 30. Veronica 16. Yasmin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Lele ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Taina Maranhao ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', Gislaine 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Lais Melo ⚽,
55', Espinales J. ↓, Diany Martins ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Amanda Gutierres ⚽,
61', Gislaine ↓, Yasmin ↑,
61', Palomar E. ↓, Lurdinha ↑,
65', Lais Melo ↓, Soll ↑,
65', Rhayanna ↓, Isadora Amaral ↑,
69', Chu Santos ↓, Cacau ↑,
69', Camila Oliveira ↓, Paloma ↑,
70', 🟨,
71', Raquel ↓, Carioca ↑,
85', Ingryd Lima ↓, Rincon Y. ↑,
85', Taina Maranhao ↓, Stefanie ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Stefanie ⚽,
90+1', Pati Maldaner 🟥,
90+2', 4 - 2, Lurdinha ⚽,
90+3', Amanda Gutierres 🟨,
90+4', Lele 🟨,
90+5', Soll 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Palmeiras is Qualified for Brasileiro Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Palmeiras is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fluminense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Palmeiras is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Palmeiras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras Women
Brasileiro Women
07.06.25	Real Brasilia - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
04.06.25	Palmeiras - São Paulo	3:2 ✺
Brasileiro Women
22.05.25	Palmeiras - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
19.05.25	Internacional - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
14.05.25	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTW
- Fluminense RJ Women
Brasileiro Women
06.06.25	Fluminense - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	2:2 ✺
16.05.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	São Paulo - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	América Mineiro - Fluminense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
20.05.24	Fluminense - Palmeiras	2:0

Palmeiras - Fluminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide